TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13106070
Played Sep 10Finished
Tadeas Bertho
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111191012116611
Tomas Hanke
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTadeas Bertho to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTadeas Bertho above · Tomas Hanke below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 93 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Tadeas Bertho at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Tadeas Bertho 2–4 Tomas Hanke Tadeas Bertho has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:57What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Hanke
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Hanke
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bertho 1473 vs Hanke 1493
Hanke
Correct
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bertho 60% vs Hanke 20%
Bertho
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bertho 60% vs Hanke 20%
Bertho
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bertho -1 · Hanke -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hanke) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanke form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBertho 1.91 / Hanke 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hanke)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13106070
Bertho1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 71 of 148
Down 0–1, comes back24% 16 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 32
Hanke1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 72 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it100% 36 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it80% 52 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeBertho2wins
AwayHanke4wins
2 of 6 to a deciderHanke leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBerthon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHanke100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bertho2Hanke4n = 6Hanke took 4 of 6
S2Bertho3Hanke2n = 5Bertho took 3 of 5
S3Bertho2Hanke3n = 5Hanke took 3 of 5
S4Bertho1Hanke3n = 4Hanke took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricBerthoHankeB − HBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match32.534.7−2.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBerthoHankeBasisWin rate · lifetime347 / 655 vs 269 / 50553%53.3%347 / 655 vs 269 / 505Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HankeBertho 1.91/Hanke 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hanke · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hanke won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LJul 28 · 13:30T. Bertho—60T. Hanke—81
WJul 2 · 16:34T. Bertho—12611113T. Hanke—1011571
LJul 2 · 14:30T. Bertho—71116652T. Hanke—1141411113
WJun 25 · 14:15T. Bertho—1111910113T. Hanke—49111282
LMay 15 · 15:45T. Bertho—5980T. Hanke—1111113
LMay 8 · 20:00T. Bertho—711661T. Hanke—11611113
T. Bertho10
LSep 10 · 13:30T. Bertho1.5311410101P. Abraham2.3871112123WSep 9 · 08:49M. Vorel1.83781181T. Bertho1.8311114113LSep 9 · 07:15M. Hasman2.0011411113T. Bertho1.73711971WSep 9 · 06:45T. Bertho1.611112113A. Dvoracek2.2091020WSep 9 · 05:45T. Bertho1.8311116133M. Vorel1.837811111LSep 7 · 20:44V. Toman2.201311113T. Bertho1.6111870WSep 7 · 19:15T. Bertho1.7311118102Z. Kuksa2.008911101WSep 7 · 18:15T. Bertho1.67115123133V. Toman2.106111011112WSep 7 · 17:15T. Bertho1.83911116113J. Tichy1.8311731152LSep 6 · 12:31T. Bertho1.6791060S. Kalensky2.071112113
T. Hanke10
LSep 10 · 14:00M. Soukup1.61116113113T. Hanke2.2081141192LSep 6 · 08:58D. Brichacek1.401611911133T. Hanke2.75187116112WSep 6 · 07:15M. Taranko1.917860T. Hanke1.801111113LSep 6 · 06:45T. Hanke2.7511711462D. Brichacek1.40711611113LSep 6 · 05:45T. Hanke2.001191061L. Stoces1.7391112113LSep 5 · 20:30J. Juppa2.2011156203T. Hanke1.6171311181WSep 5 · 19:30T. Hanke1.73117116113O. Chadima2.0071181172LSep 5 · 18:30T. Hanke2.5071190D. Brichacek1.501113113LSep 5 · 17:30T. Hanke1.6181181162J. Juppa2.20116117113LAug 28 · 20:28D. Brichacek1.671111113T. Hanke2.105440
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