TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100746
Played Sep 9Finished
Michael Hasman
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117411119117––
Tadeas Bertho
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTadeas Bertho to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichael Hasman above · Tadeas Bertho below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 71 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Tadeas Bertho at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Michael Hasman 1–0 Tadeas Bertho Tadeas Bertho has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:16What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Bertho
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hasman 1503 vs Bertho 1474
Hasman
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hasman 60% vs Bertho 80%
Bertho
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hasman 70% vs Bertho 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hasman -1 · Bertho +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bertho)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bertho form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHasman 2.00 / Bertho 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Bertho)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13100746
Hasman2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog51% won 26 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back25% 6 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back13% 2 of 15
Bertho1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 80 of 139
Up 2–0, closes it92% 44 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it80% 62 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHasman1wins
AwayBertho0wins
Hasman leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHasmanBerthoH − BBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match37.034.0+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHasmanBerthoBasisWin rate · lifetime67 / 119 vs 346 / 65356.3%53%67 / 119 vs 346 / 653Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerthoHasman 2.00/Bertho 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Bertho · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hasman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 9 · 07:15M. Hasman—11411113T. Bertho—711971
M. Hasman10
LSep 9 · 06:15M. Hasman1.73691171M. Vorel2.0011116113WSep 9 · 05:15M. Hasman1.501113113A. Dvoracek2.5061170LAug 18 · 09:00M. Hasman1.6765111182J. Marhol2.10111195113WAug 18 · 08:00M. Vorel1.616560M. Hasman2.201111113WAug 18 · 07:00J. Marhol1.67651181M. Hasman2.1011116113WAug 18 · 05:30K. Jirousek1.5058121162M. Hasman2.501111107113WAug 11 · 13:03J. Jnr1.5713740M. Hasman2.251511113WAug 11 · 11:30M. Hasman1.8013912113J. Hanacek1.9111111061WAug 11 · 10:30M. Hasman1.7311611113J. Blazek2.00911861LAug 11 · 09:30M. Hasman2.00581181J. Jnr1.7311118113
T. Bertho10
WSep 9 · 06:45T. Bertho1.611112113A. Dvoracek2.2091020WSep 9 · 05:45T. Bertho1.8311116133M. Vorel1.837811111LSep 7 · 20:44V. Toman2.201311113T. Bertho1.6111870WSep 7 · 19:15T. Bertho1.7311118102Z. Kuksa2.008911101WSep 7 · 18:15T. Bertho1.67115123133V. Toman2.106111011112WSep 7 · 17:15T. Bertho1.83911116113J. Tichy1.8311731152LSep 6 · 12:31T. Bertho1.6791060S. Kalensky2.071112113LSep 6 · 12:00J. Juppa1.571111113T. Bertho2.257990WSep 6 · 11:00S. Kalensky1.8341191192T. Bertho1.83118119113LSep 6 · 09:30V. Herrmann1.83111011113T. Bertho1.83512931
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