TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13106034
Played Sep 10Finished
Tadeas Bertho
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11741110121012––
Petr Abraham
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:57 and never touched — 59.2% is still 59.2%
Graded at full timeTadeas Bertho to win
59.2%
59.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTadeas Bertho above · Petr Abraham below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 77 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Tadeas Bertho at 59.2%
77 points played in total.
H2H Tadeas Bertho 11–8 Petr Abraham Petr Abraham has won 8 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:57What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Bertho
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-8 in 19
Bertho
Wrong
gap of 3 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bertho 1483 vs Abraham 1509
Abraham
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bertho 60% vs Abraham 80%
Abraham
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bertho 60% vs Abraham 80%
Abraham
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bertho +1 · Abraham +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Bertho)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Abraham form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBertho 1.53 / Abraham 2.38
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Bertho)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13106034
Bertho1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 82 of 141
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it80% 64 of 80
Abraham2.38
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog32% won 24 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back15% 8 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBertho8wins
AwayAbraham2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBertho leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBertho80%8 of 10
AwayAbrahamn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bertho10Abraham0n = 10Bertho took 10 of 10
S2Bertho4Abraham6n = 10Abraham took 6 of 10
S3Bertho7Abraham3n = 10Bertho took 7 of 10
S4Bertho4Abraham5n = 9Abraham took 5 of 9
S5Bertho3Abraham2n = 5Bertho took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBerthoAbrahamB − ABasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set100+10of 10Avg pointsper match44.038.8+5.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBerthoAbrahamBasisWin rate · lifetime347 / 654 vs 212 / 42253.1%50.2%347 / 654 vs 212 / 422Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerthoBertho 1.53/Abraham 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.2%
Bertho · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Abraham won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 30 · 09:45T. Bertho—11911113P. Abraham—711891
WMay 23 · 07:00T. Bertho—168119113P. Abraham—141151162
LMay 17 · 14:15T. Bertho—119121062P. Abraham—9111012113
WMar 28 · 17:41T. Bertho—1111133P. Abraham—47110
WMar 28 · 15:00T. Bertho—11611113P. Abraham—911441
WMar 21 · 15:00T. Bertho—1111883P. Abraham—981171
LMar 19 · 15:00T. Bertho—11911892P. Abraham—611611113
WFeb 11 · 17:29T. Bertho—11113133P. Abraham—6711111
WFeb 11 · 16:30T. Bertho—111198113P. Abraham—68111152
WJan 20 · 18:00T. Bertho—116118113P. Abraham—91191172
T. Bertho10
LSep 10 · 14:30T. Bertho1.91611101162T. Hanke1.80119126113WSep 9 · 08:49M. Vorel1.83781181T. Bertho1.8311114113LSep 9 · 07:15M. Hasman2.0011411113T. Bertho1.73711971WSep 9 · 06:45T. Bertho1.611112113A. Dvoracek2.2091020WSep 9 · 05:45T. Bertho1.8311116133M. Vorel1.837811111LSep 7 · 20:44V. Toman2.201311113T. Bertho1.6111870WSep 7 · 19:15T. Bertho1.7311118102Z. Kuksa2.008911101WSep 7 · 18:15T. Bertho1.67115123133V. Toman2.106111011112WSep 7 · 17:15T. Bertho1.83911116113J. Tichy1.8311731152LSep 6 · 12:31T. Bertho1.6791060S. Kalensky2.071112113
P. Abraham10
WAug 30 · 17:05A. Dvoracek3.007960P. Abraham1.361111103LAug 30 · 15:30M. Melisek2.75611126143P. Abraham1.401181011122WAug 30 · 15:00P. Abraham2.631112113J. Hanacek1.4451030WAug 30 · 14:00P. Abraham1.3611101211113A. Dvoracek3.0051214882WAug 26 · 17:00J. Marhol1.83119581P. Abraham1.8351111113WAug 26 · 16:00P. Abraham1.91114117113J. Marhol1.8061141132WAug 26 · 14:30V. Toman1.677111291P. Abraham2.10111310113LAug 26 · 14:00F. Schmidtmayer1.441111113P. Abraham2.639390WAug 23 · 08:59P. Abraham1.2511116113J. Pina3.75591191WAug 23 · 08:00P. Hlina2.753290P. Abraham1.401111113
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