TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13103119
Played Sep 9Finished
Martin Vorel
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711811114811––
Tadeas Bertho
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMartin Vorel above · Tadeas Bertho below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 71 set 4, 8-11
71 points played in total.
H2H Martin Vorel 50–47 Tadeas Bertho Tadeas Bertho has won 47 of their 97 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bertho)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vorel form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorel 1.83 / Bertho 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Bertho)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13103119
Vorel1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Bertho1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVorel3wins
AwayBertho7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderBertho leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVorel66.7%2 of 3
AwayBertho85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vorel3Bertho7n = 10Bertho took 7 of 10
S2Vorel3Bertho7n = 10Bertho took 7 of 10
S3Vorel7Bertho3n = 10Vorel took 7 of 10
S4Vorel3Bertho6n = 9Bertho took 6 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVorelBerthoV − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.438.9−1.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorelBerthoBasisWin rate · lifetime408 / 789 vs 346 / 65351.7%53%408 / 789 vs 346 / 653Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerthoVorel 1.83/Bertho 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Bertho · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Bertho won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 05:45M. Vorel—7811111T. Bertho—11116133
WAug 31 · 08:00M. Vorel—11611113T. Bertho—711471
LJun 25 · 06:30M. Vorel—661191T. Bertho—11114113
LJun 15 · 06:00M. Vorel—4149151T. Bertho—111211173
LMay 22 · 09:03M. Vorel—871191T. Bertho—11117113
LMay 22 · 07:00M. Vorel—611119102T. Bertho—119611123
LMay 13 · 12:44M. Vorel—12750T. Bertho—1411113
LMay 13 · 11:45M. Vorel—1110851T. Bertho—91211113
WApr 30 · 05:30M. Vorel—71211113T. Bertho—1110391
WApr 27 · 08:58M. Vorel—111011113T. Bertho—712471
M. Vorel10
WSep 9 · 07:45M. Vorel1.80711112143A. Dvoracek1.91113611122WSep 9 · 06:15M. Hasman1.73691171M. Vorel2.0011116113LSep 9 · 05:45T. Bertho1.8311116133M. Vorel1.837811111LSep 7 · 09:09M. Vorel1.67138111172O. Plyska2.10151188113LSep 7 · 08:00O. Plyska2.101151213113M. Vorel1.67511141192LSep 7 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.001091111113M. Vorel1.7312119982LSep 7 · 05:30P. Hlina1.5311811113M. Vorel2.38511751LSep 4 · 09:23J. Puk1.83119116133M. Vorel1.83611711112WSep 4 · 07:30M. Snizek2.2061151172M. Vorel1.61117118113WSep 4 · 07:00M. Vorel1.3681111113P. Moulis3.00113531
T. Bertho10
LSep 9 · 07:15M. Hasman2.0011411113T. Bertho1.73711971WSep 9 · 06:45T. Bertho1.611112113A. Dvoracek2.2091020WSep 9 · 05:45T. Bertho1.8311116133M. Vorel1.837811111LSep 7 · 20:44V. Toman2.201311113T. Bertho1.6111870WSep 7 · 19:15T. Bertho1.7311118102Z. Kuksa2.008911101WSep 7 · 18:15T. Bertho1.67115123133V. Toman2.106111011112WSep 7 · 17:15T. Bertho1.83911116113J. Tichy1.8311731152LSep 6 · 12:31T. Bertho1.6791060S. Kalensky2.071112113LSep 6 · 12:00J. Juppa1.571111113T. Bertho2.257990WSep 6 · 11:00S. Kalensky1.8341191192T. Bertho1.83118119113
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