TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13110552
Played Sep 10Finished
Milos Soukup
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1161214116411611
Tadeas Bertho
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingMilos Soukup above · Tadeas Bertho below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 92 set 5, 6-11
92 points played in total.
H2H Milos Soukup 0–1 Tadeas Bertho Milos Soukup has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Bertho beat Soukup 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Bertho)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bertho form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSoukup 2.10 / Bertho 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Bertho)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13110552
Soukup2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog43% won 13 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back29% 4 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Bertho1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 82 of 141
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it80% 64 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSoukup0wins
AwayBertho1wins
Bertho leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSoukupBerthoS − BBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match35.045.0−10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSoukupBerthoBasisWin rate · lifetime30 / 70 vs 348 / 65742.9%53%30 / 70 vs 348 / 657Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.739.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BerthoSoukup 2.10/Bertho 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Bertho · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Bertho won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 10 · 15:30M. Soukup—7115121T. Bertho—11911143
M. Soukup10
LSep 10 · 15:30T. Bertho2.3811911143M. Soukup1.537115121LSep 10 · 15:00M. Soukup1.73111121162P. Abraham2.00137113113WSep 10 · 14:00M. Soukup1.61116113113T. Hanke2.2081141192WAug 27 · 16:23M. Soukup1.571013711113T. Hanke2.25121111552LAug 27 · 15:45M. Soukup2.101011111182Z. Kuksa1.67121388113WAug 27 · 14:15T. Hanke1.913550M. Soukup1.801111113LAug 27 · 13:45O. Horak1.91111197113M. Soukup1.8079111172LAug 20 · 16:29M. Soukup2.00713811132Z. Kuksa1.731111117153LAug 20 · 15:30Z. Kuksa2.0011119113M. Soukup1.73941161LAug 20 · 15:00M. Soukup1.914480V. Lopata1.801111113
T. Bertho10
WSep 10 · 15:30T. Bertho2.3811911143M. Soukup1.537115121LSep 10 · 14:30T. Bertho1.91611101162T. Hanke1.80119126113LSep 10 · 13:30T. Bertho1.5311410101P. Abraham2.3871112123WSep 9 · 08:49M. Vorel1.83781181T. Bertho1.8311114113LSep 9 · 07:15M. Hasman2.0011411113T. Bertho1.73711971WSep 9 · 06:45T. Bertho1.611112113A. Dvoracek2.2091020WSep 9 · 05:45T. Bertho1.8311116133M. Vorel1.837811111LSep 7 · 20:44V. Toman2.201311113T. Bertho1.6111870WSep 7 · 19:15T. Bertho1.7311118102Z. Kuksa2.008911101WSep 7 · 18:15T. Bertho1.67115123133V. Toman2.106111011112
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