TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13106047
Played Sep 10Finished
Milos Soukup
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1113117211113611
Petr Abraham
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:56 and never touched — 64.0% is still 64.0%
Graded at full timePetr Abraham to win
64.0%
64.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMilos Soukup above · Petr Abraham below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 86 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Petr Abraham at 64.0%
86 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:56What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Soukup
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Soukup 1477 vs Abraham 1519
Abraham
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Soukup 60% vs Abraham 80%
Abraham
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Soukup 30% vs Abraham 80%
Abraham
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Soukup +2 · Abraham +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Soukup) · live re-read · sealed at 36% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Abraham form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSoukup 1.73 / Abraham 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Soukup)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13106047
Soukup1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite43% won 13 of 30
Up 2–0, closes it100% 7 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it69% 9 of 13
Abraham2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog32% won 24 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back15% 8 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSoukupAbrahamBasisWin rate · lifetime30 / 68 vs 210 / 41544.1%50.6%30 / 68 vs 210 / 415Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SoukupSoukup 1.73/Abraham 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Soukup · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Abraham won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Soukup10
LSep 10 · 15:30T. Bertho2.3811911143M. Soukup1.537115121WSep 10 · 14:00M. Soukup1.61116113113T. Hanke2.2081141192WAug 27 · 16:23M. Soukup1.571013711113T. Hanke2.25121111552LAug 27 · 15:45M. Soukup2.101011111182Z. Kuksa1.67121388113WAug 27 · 14:15T. Hanke1.913550M. Soukup1.801111113LAug 27 · 13:45O. Horak1.91111197113M. Soukup1.8079111172LAug 20 · 16:29M. Soukup2.00713811132Z. Kuksa1.731111117153LAug 20 · 15:30Z. Kuksa2.0011119113M. Soukup1.73941161LAug 20 · 15:00M. Soukup1.914480V. Lopata1.801111113LAug 20 · 14:00M. Soukup1.506890P. Hala2.501111113
P. Abraham10
WSep 10 · 13:30T. Bertho1.5311410101P. Abraham2.3871112123WAug 30 · 17:05A. Dvoracek3.007960P. Abraham1.361111103LAug 30 · 15:30M. Melisek2.75611126143P. Abraham1.401181011122WAug 30 · 15:00P. Abraham2.631112113J. Hanacek1.4451030WAug 30 · 14:00P. Abraham1.3611101211113A. Dvoracek3.0051214882WAug 26 · 17:00J. Marhol1.83119581P. Abraham1.8351111113WAug 26 · 16:00P. Abraham1.91114117113J. Marhol1.8061141132WAug 26 · 14:30V. Toman1.677111291P. Abraham2.10111310113LAug 26 · 14:00F. Schmidtmayer1.441111113P. Abraham2.639390WAug 23 · 08:59P. Abraham1.2511116113J. Pina3.75591191
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