TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111578
Played Sep 11Finished
Jan Botka
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1147111113711––
Ladislav Hendrych
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:22 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timeLadislav Hendrych to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Botka above · Ladislav Hendrych below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 75 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Ladislav Hendrych at 57.8%
75 points played in total.
H2H Jan Botka 2–4 Ladislav Hendrych Jan Botka has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 21:22What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hendrych
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Hendrych
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Botka 1429 vs Hendrych 1514
Hendrych
Correct
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Botka 80% vs Hendrych 40%
Botka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Botka 50% vs Hendrych 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Botka -1 · Hendrych +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Hendrych)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hendrych form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBotka 2.10 / Hendrych 1.67
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Hendrych)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13111578
Botka2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 16 of 40
Down 0–1, comes back29% 6 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Hendrych1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 60 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it83% 33 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it79% 48 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeBotka2wins
AwayHendrych4wins
1 of 6 to a deciderHendrych leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBotka33.3%1 of 3
AwayHendrych66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Botka3Hendrych3n = 6split evenly
S2Botka2Hendrych4n = 6Hendrych took 4 of 6
S3Botka2Hendrych4n = 6Hendrych took 4 of 6
S4Botka0Hendrych3n = 3Hendrych took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricBotkaHendrychB − HBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match32.537.3−4.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBotkaHendrychBasisWin rate · lifetime42 / 96 vs 191 / 37143.8%51.5%42 / 96 vs 191 / 371Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HendrychBotka 2.10/Hendrych 1.67
Hit
What we said
57.8%
Hendrych · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hendrych won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WJun 27 · 06:30J. Botka—1011111113L. Hendrych—12881192
WMar 20 · 21:59J. Botka—1411113L. Hendrych—12890
LMar 20 · 21:00J. Botka—4790L. Hendrych—1111113
LFeb 17 · 20:15J. Botka—1191331L. Hendrych—41115113
LNov 26 · 21:24J. Botka—91380L. Hendrych—1115113
LNov 26 · 20:15J. Botka—119541L. Hendrych—31111113
J. Botka10
LSep 11 · 17:15J. Botka1.8071111962T. Bertho1.91114911113WAug 27 · 20:38J. Botka1.441211123K. Jirousek2.63104100WAug 27 · 19:30K. Jirousek2.0011380J. Botka1.731311113WAug 27 · 19:00J. Botka2.00111353113K. Farsky1.73711111162WAug 27 · 18:00J. Botka1.611081111113J. Pina2.2012119792LAug 9 · 20:34M. Vorel2.2561113113J. Botka1.571121171WAug 9 · 19:30O. Karpisek1.531181041J. Botka2.3831112113LAug 9 · 19:00J. Botka1.5011117962M. Vorel2.50781111113LAug 9 · 18:00J. Botka2.38111111892M. Bruk1.53313911113LAug 8 · 08:44Z. Kuksa1.40121112113J. Botka2.751071471
L. Hendrych10
WSep 11 · 17:45K. Jirousek2.38711871L. Hendrych1.5311311113LSep 5 · 16:29J. Hanacek4.00116117113L. Hendrych1.2251141152LSep 5 · 15:30L. Hendrych2.6391141152S. Kalensky1.44116115113LSep 5 · 14:30L. Hendrych1.578890F. Kubos2.251111113WSep 5 · 13:30L. Hendrych1.251111113J. Hanacek3.759690WAug 31 · 21:09L. Hendrych1.7311129113O. Karpisek2.004101171WAug 31 · 20:00O. Karpisek1.80113571L. Hendrych1.91111111113LAug 31 · 19:00M. Vana2.10121011113L. Hendrych1.671012991LAug 31 · 17:30T. Stejskal2.20111013113L. Hendrych1.618121161WAug 29 · 08:23L. Hendrych2.101611911113M. Taranko1.67146111392
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.