TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116906
Played Sep 12Finished
Zdenek Kuksa
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117911114117––
Tomas Kanka
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeZdenek Kuksa to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZdenek Kuksa above · Tomas Kanka below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 71 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Zdenek Kuksa at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Kuksa 3–2 Tomas Kanka Tomas Kanka has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:12What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kuksa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuksa 1550 vs Kanka 1593
Kanka
Wrong
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuksa 80% vs Kanka 20%
Kuksa
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuksa 70% vs Kanka 40%
Kuksa
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuksa -1 · Kanka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Kuksa) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kanka form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuksa 1.73 / Kanka 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Kuksa)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13116906
Kuksa1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 81 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it87% 41 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it75% 63 of 84
Kanka2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 47 of 119
Down 0–1, comes back26% 19 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back12% 5 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKuksa3wins
AwayKanka2wins
2 of 5 to a deciderKuksa leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuksan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKanka66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuksa2Kanka3n = 5Kanka took 3 of 5
S2Kuksa2Kanka3n = 5Kanka took 3 of 5
S3Kuksa5Kanka0n = 5Kuksa took 5 of 5
S4Kuksa2Kanka2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricKuksaKankaKuksa − KankaBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match42.034.6+7.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuksaKankaBasisWin rate · lifetime257 / 505 vs 181 / 37350.9%48.5%257 / 505 vs 181 / 373Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuksaKuksa 1.73/Kanka 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Kuksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kuksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 12 · 06:45Z. Kuksa—11911113T. Kanka—711471
LJun 29 · 08:00Z. Kuksa—88111382T. Kanka—1111311113
WJun 27 · 07:45Z. Kuksa—1111113T. Kanka—7930
LSep 6 · 09:15Z. Kuksa—6111171T. Kanka—11134113
WSep 6 · 07:45Z. Kuksa—912119113T. Kanka—111041132
Z. Kuksa10
LSep 12 · 07:15M. Taranko1.73711127113Z. Kuksa2.00116101172LSep 12 · 05:45Z. Kuksa2.3812714232D. Brichacek1.5310111211113WSep 10 · 20:43Z. Kuksa1.6711118113V. Herrmann2.10991191WSep 10 · 19:45V. Herrmann1.83115941Z. Kuksa1.8351111113WSep 10 · 18:45P. Provaznik1.407511101Z. Kuksa2.7511119102WSep 10 · 17:15O. Chadima2.0012991162Z. Kuksa1.731011119113WSep 7 · 20:13J. Tichy2.63811371Z. Kuksa1.4411811113LSep 7 · 19:15T. Bertho1.7311118102Z. Kuksa2.008911101WSep 7 · 18:45Z. Kuksa1.731111113J. Tichy2.004750LSep 7 · 17:45Z. Kuksa1.5385110V. Toman2.381111133
T. Kanka10
WSep 12 · 07:45D. Brichacek1.57915110T. Kanka2.251117133LSep 12 · 05:15M. Taranko2.6351115113T. Kanka1.441141391WSep 8 · 12:14L. Kolman1.5051080T. Kanka2.501112113LSep 8 · 11:15T. Kanka1.911312491M. Svitac1.80111411113LSep 8 · 10:15T. Kanka2.38116651Z. Vasatko1.5361111113LSep 8 · 09:15T. Kanka2.50491111102L. Kolman1.50111175123LAug 30 · 08:58L. Kolman1.501111512113T. Kanka2.50913111092WAug 30 · 07:30T. Kanka1.80711119113A. Pavlik1.9111961192WAug 30 · 06:30T. Kanka1.731111133R. Merkl2.0086110WAug 30 · 05:30T. Kanka2.63111166113L. Kolman1.4496111152
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