TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116763
Played Sep 12Finished
Mikhail Taranko
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111161210711117
Zdenek Kuksa
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:44 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMikhail Taranko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMikhail Taranko above · Zdenek Kuksa below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 93 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Mikhail Taranko at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Mikhail Taranko 4–2 Zdenek Kuksa Zdenek Kuksa has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:44What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Taranko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Taranko
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Taranko 1512 vs Kuksa 1550
Kuksa
Wrong
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Taranko 40% vs Kuksa 80%
Kuksa
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Taranko 50% vs Kuksa 70%
Kuksa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Taranko -1 · Kuksa +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Taranko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuksa form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTaranko 1.73 / Kuksa 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Taranko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13116763
Taranko1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite53% won 17 of 32
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it73% 11 of 15
Kuksa2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog51% won 55 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back22% 10 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeTaranko4wins
AwayKuksa2wins
2 of 6 to a deciderTaranko leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTaranko75%3 of 4
AwayKuksan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Taranko4Kuksa2n = 6Taranko took 4 of 6
S2Taranko5Kuksa1n = 6Taranko took 5 of 6
S3Taranko4Kuksa2n = 6Taranko took 4 of 6
S4Taranko1Kuksa3n = 4Kuksa took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricTarankoKuksaT − KBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match37.735.8+1.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTarankoKuksaBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 155 vs 257 / 50548.4%50.9%75 / 155 vs 257 / 505Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.640.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TarankoTaranko 1.73/Kuksa 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Taranko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Taranko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 12 · 07:15M. Taranko—711127113Z. Kuksa—116101172
LAug 22 · 05:15M. Taranko—11118562Z. Kuksa—491111113
WAug 8 · 05:15M. Taranko—11911113Z. Kuksa—811781
WJun 27 · 05:45M. Taranko—1115113Z. Kuksa—91360
LJun 6 · 06:15M. Taranko—411461Z. Kuksa—11611113
WSep 6 · 06:15M. Taranko—1111113Z. Kuksa—6980
M. Taranko10
LSep 12 · 06:15M. Taranko2.633870D. Brichacek1.441111113WSep 12 · 05:15M. Taranko2.6351115113T. Kanka1.441141391LSep 6 · 08:29L. Stoces1.221112113M. Taranko4.0051070LSep 6 · 07:15M. Taranko1.917860T. Hanke1.801111113WSep 6 · 06:15M. Taranko2.504111410143L. Stoces1.501191212122LSep 6 · 05:15M. Taranko2.104960D. Brichacek1.671111113LAug 29 · 08:23L. Hendrych2.101611911113M. Taranko1.67146111392WAug 29 · 07:15M. Taranko1.80121299113L. Hendrych1.911010111162WAug 29 · 06:15M. Taranko1.53311114113F. Kubos2.3811771172WAug 29 · 05:15M. Taranko2.101191211123T. Bertho1.67911146102
Z. Kuksa10
WSep 12 · 06:45Z. Kuksa1.7311911113T. Kanka2.00711471LSep 12 · 05:45Z. Kuksa2.3812714232D. Brichacek1.5310111211113WSep 10 · 20:43Z. Kuksa1.6711118113V. Herrmann2.10991191WSep 10 · 19:45V. Herrmann1.83115941Z. Kuksa1.8351111113WSep 10 · 18:45P. Provaznik1.407511101Z. Kuksa2.7511119102WSep 10 · 17:15O. Chadima2.0012991162Z. Kuksa1.731011119113WSep 7 · 20:13J. Tichy2.63811371Z. Kuksa1.4411811113LSep 7 · 19:15T. Bertho1.7311118102Z. Kuksa2.008911101WSep 7 · 18:45Z. Kuksa1.731111113J. Tichy2.004750LSep 7 · 17:45Z. Kuksa1.5385110V. Toman2.381111133
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