TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105769
Played Sep 10Finished
Petr Provaznik
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 2
Set by set
7115111191010––
Zdenek Kuksa
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:39 and never touched — 67.5% is still 67.5%
Graded at full timePetr Provaznik to win
67.5%
67.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Provaznik above · Zdenek Kuksa below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 10-10
Point 74 set 4, 10-10 — our read held Petr Provaznik at 67.5%
74 points played in total.
H2H Petr Provaznik 4–1 Zdenek Kuksa Zdenek Kuksa has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:39What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Provaznik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Provaznik
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Provaznik 1548 vs Kuksa 1525
Provaznik
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Provaznik 60% vs Kuksa 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Provaznik 40% vs Kuksa 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Provaznik -1 · Kuksa +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Provaznik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuksa form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProvaznik 1.40 / Kuksa 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 33%
Edge (Provaznik)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13105769
Provaznik1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite52% won 52 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it86% 24 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it69% 35 of 51
Kuksa2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 53 of 108
Down 0–1, comes back20% 9 of 45
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeProvaznik4wins
AwayKuksa1wins
Provaznik leads 4–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProvaznik66.7%2 of 3
AwayKuksan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Provaznik3Kuksa2n = 5Provaznik took 3 of 5
S2Provaznik4Kuksa1n = 5Provaznik took 4 of 5
S3Provaznik4Kuksa1n = 5Provaznik took 4 of 5
S4Provaznik2Kuksa1n = 3Provaznik took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricProvaznikKuksaP − KBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match36.834.0+2.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProvaznikKuksaBasisWin rate · lifetime235 / 495 vs 253 / 49947.5%50.7%235 / 495 vs 253 / 499Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.740.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProvaznikProvaznik 1.40/Kuksa 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.5%
Provaznik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–2
Kuksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 10 · 12:43P. Provaznik—41114113Z. Kuksa—1191261
WAug 10 · 09:30P. Provaznik—1411113Z. Kuksa—12880
WJul 27 · 12:18P. Provaznik—1111113Z. Kuksa—9580
WJul 27 · 10:45P. Provaznik—101111123Z. Kuksa—1299101
LJun 12 · 16:00P. Provaznik—1136111Z. Kuksa—71111133
P. Provaznik10
WSep 10 · 19:15O. Chadima2.50126361P. Provaznik1.50101111113LSep 10 · 17:45P. Provaznik1.831011961V. Herrmann1.8312911113WSep 9 · 17:03P. Hala1.5071131192P. Provaznik2.50119118113WSep 9 · 15:30P. Provaznik2.2513411113T. Hucko1.571111771LSep 9 · 14:30P. Provaznik2.503111051P. Hala1.5011512113WSep 9 · 13:30P. Provaznik2.25912611113L. Kolman1.57111011732WSep 4 · 16:34M. Bruk1.6551191112P. Provaznik2.10113118113LSep 4 · 15:15P. Provaznik1.91118111452O. Horak1.809111312113LSep 4 · 14:15P. Provaznik2.0011761172J. Simek1.73711117113LSep 4 · 13:15P. Provaznik2.001461181M. Bruk1.7316119113
Z. Kuksa10
WSep 10 · 19:45V. Herrmann1.83115941Z. Kuksa1.8351111113WSep 10 · 17:15O. Chadima2.0012991162Z. Kuksa1.731011119113WSep 7 · 20:13J. Tichy2.63811371Z. Kuksa1.4411811113LSep 7 · 19:15T. Bertho1.7311118102Z. Kuksa2.008911101WSep 7 · 18:45Z. Kuksa1.731111113J. Tichy2.004750LSep 7 · 17:45Z. Kuksa1.5385110V. Toman2.381111133WSep 5 · 08:29Z. Kuksa1.80111111113M. Cizek1.91713761LSep 5 · 07:30M. Cizek2.00712118113Z. Kuksa1.73111031182LSep 5 · 07:00Z. Kuksa1.80111371392J. Juppa1.918151111113LSep 5 · 06:00Z. Kuksa2.201011111182S. Kalensky1.61121388113
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