TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105796
Played Sep 10Finished
Vit Herrmann
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
115511911411––
Zdenek Kuksa
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVit Herrmann to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVit Herrmann above · Zdenek Kuksa below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 67 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Vit Herrmann at 54.0%
67 points played in total.
H2H Vit Herrmann 7–5 Zdenek Kuksa Zdenek Kuksa has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:38What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kuksa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Herrmann
Wrong
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Herrmann 1662 vs Kuksa 1525
Herrmann
Wrong
both rated, 136 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Herrmann 60% vs Kuksa 80%
Kuksa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Herrmann 70% vs Kuksa 50%
Herrmann
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Herrmann -1 · Kuksa +3
Kuksa
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Herrmann)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuksa form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHerrmann 1.83 / Kuksa 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Herrmann)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13105796
Herrmann1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Kuksa1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHerrmann6wins
AwayKuksa4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHerrmann leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHerrmann100%4 of 4
AwayKuksa66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Herrmann4Kuksa6n = 10Kuksa took 6 of 10
S2Herrmann5Kuksa5n = 10split evenly
S3Herrmann5Kuksa5n = 10split evenly
S4Herrmann5Kuksa4n = 9Herrmann took 5 of 9
S5Herrmann3Kuksa1n = 4Herrmann took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHerrmannKuksaH − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.940.3−1.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHerrmannKuksaBasisWin rate · lifetime217 / 440 vs 254 / 50049.3%50.8%217 / 440 vs 254 / 500Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.140.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HerrmannHerrmann 1.83/Kuksa 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Herrmann · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kuksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 13 · 20:00V. Herrmann—6570Z. Kuksa—1111113
WApr 6 · 12:44V. Herrmann—12711113Z. Kuksa—1011821
LApr 6 · 10:45V. Herrmann—61191252Z. Kuksa—1171110113
WNov 17 · 13:44V. Herrmann—1111710113Z. Kuksa—87111292
WNov 17 · 11:00V. Herrmann—111133113Z. Kuksa—88111162
LOct 24 · 13:05V. Herrmann—1081191Z. Kuksa—12119113
WOct 24 · 10:00V. Herrmann—91111113Z. Kuksa—117891
WOct 20 · 13:05V. Herrmann—411611113Z. Kuksa—11811642
LOct 20 · 12:00V. Herrmann—471291Z. Kuksa—111110113
WSep 5 · 16:40V. Herrmann—111011113Z. Kuksa—812981
V. Herrmann10
LSep 10 · 18:15O. Chadima1.91817911123V. Herrmann1.801115119102WSep 10 · 17:45P. Provaznik1.831011961V. Herrmann1.8312911113WSep 6 · 13:00J. Juppa1.50911791V. Herrmann2.5011811113WSep 6 · 11:30V. Herrmann1.9114911113S. Kalensky1.801211691LSep 6 · 10:30V. Herrmann1.80891181J. Juppa1.9111113113WSep 6 · 09:30V. Herrmann1.83111011113T. Bertho1.83512931WSep 5 · 12:49L. Kolman1.57107111282V. Herrmann2.251211910103WSep 5 · 11:15P. Maly1.6112111171V. Herrmann2.2014138103LSep 5 · 10:45V. Herrmann2.5013990L. Kolman1.501511113WSep 5 · 09:45V. Herrmann2.0011136113V. Lopata1.739111171
Z. Kuksa10
WSep 10 · 18:45P. Provaznik1.407511101Z. Kuksa2.7511119102WSep 10 · 17:15O. Chadima2.0012991162Z. Kuksa1.731011119113WSep 7 · 20:13J. Tichy2.63811371Z. Kuksa1.4411811113LSep 7 · 19:15T. Bertho1.7311118102Z. Kuksa2.008911101WSep 7 · 18:45Z. Kuksa1.731111113J. Tichy2.004750LSep 7 · 17:45Z. Kuksa1.5385110V. Toman2.381111133WSep 5 · 08:29Z. Kuksa1.80111111113M. Cizek1.91713761LSep 5 · 07:30M. Cizek2.00712118113Z. Kuksa1.73111031182LSep 5 · 07:00Z. Kuksa1.80111371392J. Juppa1.918151111113LSep 5 · 06:00Z. Kuksa2.201011111182S. Kalensky1.61121388113
Upcoming Matches
V. Herrmann
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