TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105732
Played Sep 10Finished
Ondrej Chadima
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210911911119611
Zdenek Kuksa
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeZdenek Kuksa to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Chadima above · Zdenek Kuksa below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 99 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Zdenek Kuksa at 54.0%
99 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Chadima 12–13 Zdenek Kuksa Ondrej Chadima has won 12 of their 25 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:29What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kuksa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-13 in 25
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Chadima 1551 vs Kuksa 1514
Chadima
Wrong
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Chadima 60% vs Kuksa 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chadima 40% vs Kuksa 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Chadima +1 · Kuksa +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kuksa)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChadima 2.00 / Kuksa 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kuksa)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13105732
Chadima2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 55 of 145
Down 0–1, comes back18% 16 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 47
Kuksa1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite62% won 81 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it87% 41 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it75% 64 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChadima5wins
AwayKuksa5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChadima60%3 of 5
AwayKuksa60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chadima5Kuksa5n = 10split evenly
S2Chadima4Kuksa6n = 10Kuksa took 6 of 10
S3Chadima3Kuksa7n = 10Kuksa took 7 of 10
S4Chadima5Kuksa2n = 7Chadima took 5 of 7
S5Chadima3Kuksa2n = 5Chadima took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricChadimaKuksaC − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.340.1−0.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChadimaKuksaBasisWin rate · lifetime308 / 598 vs 253 / 50251.5%50.4%308 / 598 vs 253 / 502Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuksaChadima 2.00/Kuksa 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kuksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kuksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 17 · 05:30O. Chadima—511811113Z. Kuksa—11711672
WJun 26 · 08:00O. Chadima—10111011133Z. Kuksa—127125112
LJun 15 · 05:30O. Chadima—8530Z. Kuksa—1111113
LJun 8 · 15:00O. Chadima—114691Z. Kuksa—91111113
LJun 5 · 11:45O. Chadima—11951162Z. Kuksa—711118113
WJun 1 · 08:58O. Chadima—1511123Z. Kuksa—139100
LJun 1 · 07:00O. Chadima—91112892Z. Kuksa—1161011113
WMay 18 · 08:28O. Chadima—11911113Z. Kuksa—611491
LMay 18 · 05:30O. Chadima—101250Z. Kuksa—1214113
WApr 10 · 12:00O. Chadima—116911113Z. Kuksa—51111772
O. Chadima10
WSep 5 · 21:00D. Brichacek1.22131111982O. Chadima4.00155211113LSep 5 · 19:30T. Hanke1.73117116113O. Chadima2.0071181172WSep 5 · 19:00O. Chadima2.00912118113J. Juppa1.73111021172LSep 5 · 18:00O. Chadima3.508370D. Brichacek1.281111113WAug 31 · 20:29V. Herrmann1.9151191152O. Chadima1.80116118113LAug 31 · 19:15J. Gruber1.361111113O. Chadima3.004740LAug 31 · 18:45O. Chadima1.831010110V. Herrmann1.831212133WAug 31 · 17:45O. Chadima2.7513811113P. Orlowski1.401111971LAug 29 · 16:44V. Lopata1.2511119113O. Chadima3.75551141LAug 29 · 15:45O. Chadima2.207730V. Lopata1.611111103
Z. Kuksa10
WSep 7 · 20:13J. Tichy2.63811371Z. Kuksa1.4411811113LSep 7 · 19:15T. Bertho1.7311118102Z. Kuksa2.008911101WSep 7 · 18:45Z. Kuksa1.731111113J. Tichy2.004750LSep 7 · 17:45Z. Kuksa1.5385110V. Toman2.381111133WSep 5 · 08:29Z. Kuksa1.80111111113M. Cizek1.91713761LSep 5 · 07:30M. Cizek2.00712118113Z. Kuksa1.73111031182LSep 5 · 07:00Z. Kuksa1.80111371392J. Juppa1.918151111113LSep 5 · 06:00Z. Kuksa2.201011111182S. Kalensky1.61121388113LAug 27 · 16:54Z. Kuksa1.91149931O. Horak1.80121111113WAug 27 · 15:45M. Soukup2.101011111182Z. Kuksa1.67121388113
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