TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100941
Played Sep 9Finished
Petr Provaznik
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
3111151012511––
Pavel Hala
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:16 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timePavel Hala to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Provaznik above · Pavel Hala below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 68 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Pavel Hala at 64.1%
68 points played in total.
H2H Petr Provaznik 23–32 Pavel Hala Petr Provaznik has won 23 of their 55 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:16What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Hala
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-32 in 55
Hala
Correct
gap of 9 in 55, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Provaznik 1535 vs Hala 1635
Hala
Correct
both rated, 100 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Provaznik 40% vs Hala 60%
Hala
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Provaznik 40% vs Hala 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Provaznik +2 · Hala +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Hala)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProvaznik 2.50 / Hala 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Hala)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13100941
Provaznik2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 34 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back35% 15 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Hala1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 70 of 139
Up 2–0, closes it93% 41 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it65% 60 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeProvaznik2wins
AwayHala8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHala leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProvaznikn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayHala77.8%7 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Provaznik1Hala9n = 10Hala took 9 of 10
S2Provaznik4Hala6n = 10Hala took 6 of 10
S3Provaznik3Hala7n = 10Hala took 7 of 10
S4Provaznik4Hala2n = 6Provaznik took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricProvaznikHalaP − HBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match32.837.8−5.0per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProvaznikHalaBasisWin rate · lifetime233 / 491 vs 307 / 60947.5%50.4%233 / 491 vs 307 / 609Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HalaProvaznik 2.50/Hala 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Hala · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 13 · 13:45P. Provaznik—8670P. Hala—1111113
LJul 14 · 16:18P. Provaznik—51111141P. Hala—11137163
WJul 14 · 14:15P. Provaznik—81111113P. Hala—118861
LJul 8 · 15:30P. Provaznik—6480P. Hala—1111113
LJun 16 · 13:30P. Provaznik—119711102P. Hala—711119123
LMay 20 · 13:30P. Provaznik—9760P. Hala—1111113
LApr 15 · 15:30P. Provaznik—2880P. Hala—1111113
LMar 23 · 18:03P. Provaznik—81191192P. Hala—119113113
WMar 23 · 17:00P. Provaznik—81111113P. Hala—115951
LMar 9 · 19:45P. Provaznik—711571P. Hala—11811113
P. Provaznik10
WSep 9 · 13:30P. Provaznik2.25912611113L. Kolman1.57111011732WSep 4 · 16:34M. Bruk1.6551191112P. Provaznik2.10113118113LSep 4 · 15:15P. Provaznik1.91118111452O. Horak1.809111312113LSep 4 · 14:15P. Provaznik2.0011761172J. Simek1.73711117113LSep 4 · 13:15P. Provaznik2.001461181M. Bruk1.7316119113LSep 1 · 20:48P. Provaznik2.751071171M. Hajek1.4012116113WSep 1 · 19:45M. Hajek1.50101170P. Provaznik2.501213113LSep 1 · 18:45T. Hucko1.67911114113P. Provaznik2.1011981162LSep 1 · 17:15P. Maly1.7361111133P. Provaznik2.001187111WAug 28 · 20:19A. Pavlik1.679970P. Provaznik2.101111113
P. Hala10
WSep 9 · 14:00T. Hucko1.576490P. Hala2.251111113WSep 6 · 09:04M. Hajek1.83911861P. Hala1.8311611113LSep 6 · 08:00P. Hala2.00910100M. Hajek1.731112123WSep 6 · 06:30R. Merkl2.10231111102P. Hala1.67111177123LSep 6 · 06:00P. Orlowski2.00131110163P. Hala1.7311712141WSep 4 · 21:03P. Hala2.1011128113P. Rucky1.675101161LSep 4 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.91115179113P. Hala1.80311151162LSep 4 · 19:00P. Orlowski1.91119211123P. Hala1.80811118102LSep 4 · 17:30P. Rucky1.611513118113P. Hala2.20131561192WSep 2 · 16:50L. Kolman1.78111011752P. Hala1.92612611113
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