TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105327
Played Sep 9Finished
Pavel Hala
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711119311118911
Petr Provaznik
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingPavel Hala above · Petr Provaznik below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 91 set 5, 9-11
91 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Hala 33–23 Petr Provaznik Petr Provaznik has won 23 of their 56 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Hala beat Provaznik 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Hala)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Provaznik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHala 1.50 / Provaznik 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Hala)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13105327
Hala1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 70 of 139
Up 2–0, closes it93% 41 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it65% 60 of 93
Provaznik2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 34 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back35% 15 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHala8wins
AwayProvaznik2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHala leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHala77.8%7 of 9
AwayProvaznikn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hala9Provaznik1n = 10Hala took 9 of 10
S2Hala6Provaznik4n = 10Hala took 6 of 10
S3Hala7Provaznik3n = 10Hala took 7 of 10
S4Hala2Provaznik4n = 6Provaznik took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHalaProvaznikH − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match37.632.7+4.9per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHalaProvaznikBasisWin rate · lifetime308 / 609 vs 234 / 49350.6%47.5%308 / 609 vs 234 / 493Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HalaHala 1.50/Provaznik 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.1%
Hala · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Provaznik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 14:30P. Hala—11512113P. Provaznik—3111051
WAug 13 · 13:45P. Hala—1111113P. Provaznik—8670
WJul 14 · 16:18P. Hala—11137163P. Provaznik—51111141
LJul 14 · 14:15P. Hala—118861P. Provaznik—81111113
WJul 8 · 15:30P. Hala—1111113P. Provaznik—6480
WJun 16 · 13:30P. Hala—711119123P. Provaznik—119711102
WMay 20 · 13:30P. Hala—1111113P. Provaznik—9760
WApr 15 · 15:30P. Hala—1111113P. Provaznik—2880
WMar 23 · 18:03P. Hala—119113113P. Provaznik—81191192
LMar 23 · 17:00P. Hala—115951P. Provaznik—81111113
P. Hala10
WSep 9 · 16:00P. Hala1.8317911113L. Kolman1.831511351WSep 9 · 14:30P. Provaznik2.503111051P. Hala1.5011512113WSep 9 · 14:00T. Hucko1.576490P. Hala2.251111113WSep 6 · 09:04M. Hajek1.83911861P. Hala1.8311611113LSep 6 · 08:00P. Hala2.00910100M. Hajek1.731112123WSep 6 · 06:30R. Merkl2.10231111102P. Hala1.67111177123LSep 6 · 06:00P. Orlowski2.00131110163P. Hala1.7311712141WSep 4 · 21:03P. Hala2.1011128113P. Rucky1.675101161LSep 4 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.91115179113P. Hala1.80311151162LSep 4 · 19:00P. Orlowski1.91119211123P. Hala1.80811118102
P. Provaznik10
WSep 9 · 15:30P. Provaznik2.2513411113T. Hucko1.571111771LSep 9 · 14:30P. Provaznik2.503111051P. Hala1.5011512113WSep 9 · 13:30P. Provaznik2.25912611113L. Kolman1.57111011732WSep 4 · 16:34M. Bruk1.6551191112P. Provaznik2.10113118113LSep 4 · 15:15P. Provaznik1.91118111452O. Horak1.809111312113LSep 4 · 14:15P. Provaznik2.0011761172J. Simek1.73711117113LSep 4 · 13:15P. Provaznik2.001461181M. Bruk1.7316119113LSep 1 · 20:48P. Provaznik2.751071171M. Hajek1.4012116113WSep 1 · 19:45M. Hajek1.50101170P. Provaznik2.501213113LSep 1 · 18:45T. Hucko1.67911114113P. Provaznik2.1011981162
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