TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13101075
Played Sep 9Finished
Pavel Hala
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1715911113115––
Leon Kolman
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLeon Kolman to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPavel Hala above · Leon Kolman below
Set 1 · 17-15
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 82 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Leon Kolman at 54.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Hala 12–8 Leon Kolman Leon Kolman has won 8 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:57What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kolman
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-8 in 20
Hala
Correct
gap of 4 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hala 1643 vs Kolman 1626
Hala
Correct
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hala 80% vs Kolman 0%
Hala
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hala 50% vs Kolman 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hala +3 · Kolman -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hala) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolman form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHala 1.83 / Kolman 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hala)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13101075
Hala1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Kolman1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHala6wins
AwayKolman4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHala leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHala100%4 of 4
AwayKolman66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hala4Kolman6n = 10Kolman took 6 of 10
S2Hala5Kolman5n = 10split evenly
S3Hala4Kolman6n = 10Kolman took 6 of 10
S4Hala5Kolman2n = 7Hala took 5 of 7
S5Hala3Kolman1n = 4Hala took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHalaKolmanH − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.937.3+1.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHalaKolmanBasisWin rate · lifetime308 / 609 vs 364 / 68550.6%53.1%308 / 609 vs 364 / 685Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.740.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HalaHala 1.83/Kolman 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hala · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 16:50P. Hala—612611113L. Kolman—111011752
LSep 2 · 15:45P. Hala—9113141L. Kolman—11911163
WAug 21 · 20:19P. Hala—1111113L. Kolman—5890
LAug 21 · 17:45P. Hala—8990L. Kolman—1111113
WMay 23 · 15:00P. Hala—12117113L. Kolman—1031151
WApr 26 · 12:34P. Hala—111177113L. Kolman—44111172
LApr 26 · 11:00P. Hala—7790L. Kolman—1111113
WMar 12 · 15:30P. Hala—11311113L. Kolman—811431
WMar 10 · 15:00P. Hala—891113133L. Kolman—1111811112
LMar 1 · 14:45P. Hala—96111192L. Kolman—111198113
P. Hala10
WSep 9 · 14:30P. Provaznik2.503111051P. Hala1.5011512113WSep 9 · 14:00T. Hucko1.576490P. Hala2.251111113WSep 6 · 09:04M. Hajek1.83911861P. Hala1.8311611113LSep 6 · 08:00P. Hala2.00910100M. Hajek1.731112123WSep 6 · 06:30R. Merkl2.10231111102P. Hala1.67111177123LSep 6 · 06:00P. Orlowski2.00131110163P. Hala1.7311712141WSep 4 · 21:03P. Hala2.1011128113P. Rucky1.675101161LSep 4 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.91115179113P. Hala1.80311151162LSep 4 · 19:00P. Orlowski1.91119211123P. Hala1.80811118102LSep 4 · 17:30P. Rucky1.611513118113P. Hala2.20131561192
L. Kolman10
LSep 9 · 16:38L. Kolman1.85311561T. Hucko1.8511811113LSep 9 · 15:00T. Hucko1.73158116143L. Kolman2.001311711122LSep 9 · 13:30P. Provaznik2.25912611113L. Kolman1.57111011732LSep 8 · 12:14L. Kolman1.5051080T. Kanka2.501112113LSep 8 · 11:45Z. Vasatko2.631111113L. Kolman1.449640LSep 8 · 10:45M. Svitac1.7381111113L. Kolman2.00119791WSep 8 · 09:15T. Kanka2.50491111102L. Kolman1.50111175123WSep 7 · 12:58L. Kolman1.40111111113Z. Vasatko2.75913691WSep 7 · 12:00Z. Vasatko2.004980L. Kolman1.731111113WSep 7 · 10:58M. Bruk1.834470L. Kolman1.831111113
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