TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089374
Played Sep 7Finished
Zdenek Vasatko
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411911811––––
Leon Kolman
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:11 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeLeon Kolman to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZdenek Vasatko above · Leon Kolman below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 54 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Leon Kolman at 54.9%
54 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Vasatko 2–3 Leon Kolman Zdenek Vasatko has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:11What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kolman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vasatko 1694 vs Kolman 1676
Vasatko
Wrong
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vasatko 80% vs Kolman 100%
Kolman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vasatko 60% vs Kolman 80%
Kolman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vasatko +3 · Kolman +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Kolman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolman form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVasatko 2.00 / Kolman 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Kolman)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13089374
Vasatko2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 29 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back22% 6 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Kolman1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 110 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it89% 48 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it70% 83 of 118
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeVasatko2wins
AwayKolman3wins
2 of 5 to a deciderKolman leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVasatkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKolman66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vasatko2Kolman3n = 5Kolman took 3 of 5
S2Vasatko2Kolman3n = 5Kolman took 3 of 5
S3Vasatko1Kolman4n = 5Kolman took 4 of 5
S4Vasatko2Kolman1n = 3Vasatko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricVasatkoKolmanV − KBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match35.036.4−1.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVasatkoKolmanBasisWin rate · lifetime142 / 286 vs 361 / 67749.7%53.3%142 / 286 vs 361 / 677Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.440.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolmanVasatko 2.00/Kolman 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Kolman · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kolman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LAug 31 · 16:38Z. Vasatko—8340L. Kolman—1111113
LAug 31 · 14:30Z. Vasatko—11119772L. Kolman—921111113
LAug 27 · 09:15Z. Vasatko—75100L. Kolman—1111123
WApr 5 · 13:45Z. Vasatko—11119113L. Kolman—651171
WMar 16 · 13:00Z. Vasatko—8101111113L. Kolman—11127572
Z. Vasatko10
WSep 7 · 10:30M. Svitac1.9131111692Z. Vasatko1.80119811113WSep 7 · 09:58M. Bruk3.00118119102Z. Vasatko1.36911511123WSep 5 · 16:18Z. Vasatko2.50129144113P. Semrad1.501011121162LSep 5 · 15:15P. Semrad1.807111111113Z. Vasatko1.9111741382WSep 5 · 14:45Z. Vasatko3.0051111123L. Smazik1.361184101WSep 5 · 13:45Z. Vasatko2.00111192M. Svitac1.739990LSep 4 · 12:43Z. Vasatko1.8311990M. Hajek1.831311113WSep 4 · 11:45M. Hajek1.73116571Z. Vasatko2.0091111113LSep 4 · 10:45M. Svitac1.911111113Z. Vasatko1.808150LSep 4 · 09:15T. Hucko1.8351111113Z. Vasatko1.83116871
L. Kolman10
WSep 7 · 10:58M. Bruk1.834470L. Kolman1.831111113WSep 7 · 09:30M. Svitac1.67913111192L. Kolman2.10111595113WSep 6 · 20:53M. Hajek1.83881171L. Kolman1.8311119113WSep 6 · 19:15A. Pavlik2.00131181072L. Kolman1.731191112113WSep 6 · 18:45L. Kolman1.91111193M. Hajek1.809960WSep 6 · 17:45L. Kolman2.101111610113M. Svitac1.6764111252LSep 5 · 12:49L. Kolman1.57107111282V. Herrmann2.251211910103LSep 5 · 11:45V. Lopata2.0012911113L. Kolman1.731011741WSep 5 · 10:45V. Herrmann2.5013990L. Kolman1.501511113WSep 5 · 09:15P. Maly2.25124871L. Kolman1.57101111113
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