TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13091935
Played Sep 7Finished
Martin Bruk
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411411711––––
Leon Kolman
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
How it is goingMartin Bruk above · Leon Kolman below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 48 set 3, 7-11
48 points played in total.
H2H Martin Bruk 12–7 Leon Kolman Leon Kolman has won 7 of their 19 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolman form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBruk 1.83 / Kolman 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kolman)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13091935
Bruk1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Kolman1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBruk7wins
AwayKolman3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBruk leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBruk80%4 of 5
AwayKolman40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bruk5Kolman5n = 10split evenly
S2Bruk7Kolman3n = 10Bruk took 7 of 10
S3Bruk5Kolman5n = 10split evenly
S4Bruk3Kolman5n = 8Kolman took 5 of 8
S5Bruk4Kolman1n = 5Bruk took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrukKolmanB − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.138.4+2.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrukKolmanBasisWin rate · lifetime201 / 388 vs 360 / 67651.8%53.3%201 / 388 vs 360 / 676Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.440.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolmanBruk 1.83/Kolman 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kolman · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kolman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 17 · 11:45M. Bruk—4470L. Kolman—1111113
WJun 16 · 10:30M. Bruk—911119113L. Kolman—11771142
WJun 15 · 13:30M. Bruk—411119113L. Kolman—11641172
WJun 13 · 18:30M. Bruk—117511113L. Kolman—91111592
WJun 12 · 11:00M. Bruk—1111113L. Kolman—7880
WApr 6 · 20:36M. Bruk—111114113L. Kolman—671691
WApr 6 · 19:30M. Bruk—91111113L. Kolman—115751
WMar 30 · 10:45M. Bruk—111174113L. Kolman—88111142
LMar 17 · 11:30M. Bruk—11610121L. Kolman—71112143
LFeb 28 · 14:06M. Bruk—715111062L. Kolman—111391273
M. Bruk10
WSep 7 · 11:30M. Svitac1.679121191M. Bruk2.1011148113LSep 7 · 09:58M. Bruk3.00118119102Z. Vasatko1.36911511123LSep 4 · 16:34M. Bruk1.6551191112P. Provaznik2.10113118113WSep 4 · 15:45J. Simek1.8312511582M. Bruk1.831011511113LSep 4 · 14:45O. Horak1.80111012113M. Bruk1.916121081WSep 4 · 13:15P. Provaznik2.001461181M. Bruk1.7316119113WAug 24 · 16:33M. Bruk1.67611211123Z. Kuksa2.10119116102LAug 24 · 16:00M. Bruk1.7396111172R. Merkl2.00111168113LAug 24 · 14:30D. Marasek1.50111111113M. Bruk2.50881361LAug 24 · 14:00Z. Kuksa2.25111178113M. Bruk1.5757111152
L. Kolman10
WSep 7 · 12:00Z. Vasatko2.004980L. Kolman1.731111113WSep 7 · 09:30M. Svitac1.67913111192L. Kolman2.10111595113WSep 6 · 20:53M. Hajek1.83881171L. Kolman1.8311119113WSep 6 · 19:15A. Pavlik2.00131181072L. Kolman1.731191112113WSep 6 · 18:45L. Kolman1.91111193M. Hajek1.809960WSep 6 · 17:45L. Kolman2.101111610113M. Svitac1.6764111252LSep 5 · 12:49L. Kolman1.57107111282V. Herrmann2.251211910103LSep 5 · 11:45V. Lopata2.0012911113L. Kolman1.731011741WSep 5 · 10:45V. Herrmann2.5013990L. Kolman1.501511113WSep 5 · 09:15P. Maly2.25124871L. Kolman1.57101111113
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