TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13092774
Played Sep 7Finished
Leon Kolman
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191113116119––
Zdenek Vasatko
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingLeon Kolman above · Zdenek Vasatko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 81 set 4, 11-9
81 points played in total.
H2H Leon Kolman 4–2 Zdenek Vasatko Zdenek Vasatko has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Kolman beat Vasatko 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Kolman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vasatko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolman 1.40 / Vasatko 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Kolman)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13092774
Kolman1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 110 of 187
Up 2–0, closes it89% 48 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it70% 83 of 118
Vasatko2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog51% won 29 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back22% 6 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKolman4wins
AwayVasatko2wins
2 of 6 to a deciderKolman leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolman75%3 of 4
AwayVasatkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolman4Vasatko2n = 6Kolman took 4 of 6
S2Kolman4Vasatko2n = 6Kolman took 4 of 6
S3Kolman5Vasatko1n = 6Kolman took 5 of 6
S4Kolman1Vasatko2n = 3Vasatko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home350%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricKolmanVasatkoK − VBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match35.832.7+3.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolmanVasatkoBasisWin rate · lifetime362 / 678 vs 142 / 28753.4%49.5%362 / 678 vs 142 / 287Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.736.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolmanKolman 1.40/Vasatko 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.3%
Kolman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kolman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 7 · 12:00L. Kolman—1111113Z. Vasatko—4980
WAug 31 · 16:38L. Kolman—1111113Z. Vasatko—8340
WAug 31 · 14:30L. Kolman—921111113Z. Vasatko—11119772
WAug 27 · 09:15L. Kolman—1111123Z. Vasatko—75100
LApr 5 · 13:45L. Kolman—651171Z. Vasatko—11119113
LMar 16 · 13:00L. Kolman—11127572Z. Vasatko—8101111113
L. Kolman10
WSep 7 · 12:00Z. Vasatko2.004980L. Kolman1.731111113WSep 7 · 10:58M. Bruk1.834470L. Kolman1.831111113WSep 7 · 09:30M. Svitac1.67913111192L. Kolman2.10111595113WSep 6 · 20:53M. Hajek1.83881171L. Kolman1.8311119113WSep 6 · 19:15A. Pavlik2.00131181072L. Kolman1.731191112113WSep 6 · 18:45L. Kolman1.91111193M. Hajek1.809960WSep 6 · 17:45L. Kolman2.101111610113M. Svitac1.6764111252LSep 5 · 12:49L. Kolman1.57107111282V. Herrmann2.251211910103LSep 5 · 11:45V. Lopata2.0012911113L. Kolman1.731011741WSep 5 · 10:45V. Herrmann2.5013990L. Kolman1.501511113
Z. Vasatko10
LSep 7 · 12:00Z. Vasatko2.004980L. Kolman1.731111113WSep 7 · 10:30M. Svitac1.9131111692Z. Vasatko1.80119811113WSep 7 · 09:58M. Bruk3.00118119102Z. Vasatko1.36911511123WSep 5 · 16:18Z. Vasatko2.50129144113P. Semrad1.501011121162LSep 5 · 15:15P. Semrad1.807111111113Z. Vasatko1.9111741382WSep 5 · 14:45Z. Vasatko3.0051111123L. Smazik1.361184101WSep 5 · 13:45Z. Vasatko2.00111192M. Svitac1.739990LSep 4 · 12:43Z. Vasatko1.8311990M. Hajek1.831311113WSep 4 · 11:45M. Hajek1.73116571Z. Vasatko2.0091111113LSep 4 · 10:45M. Svitac1.911111113Z. Vasatko1.808150
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