TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13098881
Played Sep 8Finished
Leon Kolman
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5111012811––––
Tomas Kanka
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingLeon Kolman above · Tomas Kanka below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 57 set 3, 8-11
57 points played in total.
H2H Leon Kolman 23–10 Tomas Kanka Tomas Kanka has won 10 of their 33 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Kolman beat Kanka 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Kolman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kanka form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolman 1.50 / Kanka 2.50
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Kolman)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13098881
Kolman1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 112 of 189
Up 2–0, closes it89% 49 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it71% 85 of 120
Kanka2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 46 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back27% 19 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back13% 5 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolman8wins
AwayKanka2wins
8 of 10 to a deciderKolman leads 8–2, and 8 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolman100%7 of 7
AwayKanka66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolman7Kanka3n = 10Kolman took 7 of 10
S2Kolman6Kanka4n = 10Kolman took 6 of 10
S3Kolman4Kanka6n = 10Kanka took 6 of 10
S4Kolman5Kanka3n = 8Kolman took 5 of 8
S5Kolman6Kanka2n = 8Kolman took 6 of 8
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home660%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolmanKankaKolman − KankaBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match46.142.8+3.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolmanKankaBasisWin rate · lifetime364 / 682 vs 182 / 37753.4%48.3%364 / 682 vs 182 / 377Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.738.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolmanKolman 1.50/Kanka 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.9%
Kolman · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kanka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 09:15L. Kolman—111175123T. Kanka—491111102
WAug 30 · 08:58L. Kolman—1111512113T. Kanka—913111092
LAug 30 · 05:30L. Kolman—96111152T. Kanka—111166113
WAug 22 · 09:04L. Kolman—1111113T. Kanka—79100
WAug 22 · 07:00L. Kolman—111199113T. Kanka—94111162
WAug 18 · 16:00L. Kolman—119911133T. Kanka—911114112
WJul 27 · 13:45L. Kolman—115911113T. Kanka—71111692
LJul 24 · 07:00L. Kolman—71361592T. Kanka—11111113113
WJul 21 · 10:45L. Kolman—1011118113T. Kanka—12761182
WJul 18 · 14:15L. Kolman—1611113T. Kanka—14860
L. Kolman10
LSep 8 · 11:45Z. Vasatko2.631111113L. Kolman1.449640LSep 8 · 10:45M. Svitac1.7381111113L. Kolman2.00119791WSep 8 · 09:15T. Kanka2.50491111102L. Kolman1.50111175123WSep 7 · 12:58L. Kolman1.40111111113Z. Vasatko2.75913691WSep 7 · 12:00Z. Vasatko2.004980L. Kolman1.731111113WSep 7 · 10:58M. Bruk1.834470L. Kolman1.831111113WSep 7 · 09:30M. Svitac1.67913111192L. Kolman2.10111595113WSep 6 · 20:53M. Hajek1.83881171L. Kolman1.8311119113WSep 6 · 19:15A. Pavlik2.00131181072L. Kolman1.731191112113WSep 6 · 18:45L. Kolman1.91111193M. Hajek1.809960
T. Kanka10
LSep 8 · 11:15T. Kanka1.911312491M. Svitac1.80111411113LSep 8 · 10:15T. Kanka2.38116651Z. Vasatko1.5361111113LSep 8 · 09:15T. Kanka2.50491111102L. Kolman1.50111175123LAug 30 · 08:58L. Kolman1.501111512113T. Kanka2.50913111092WAug 30 · 07:30T. Kanka1.80711119113A. Pavlik1.9111961192WAug 30 · 06:30T. Kanka1.731111133R. Merkl2.0086110WAug 30 · 05:30T. Kanka2.63111166113L. Kolman1.4496111152LAug 22 · 09:04L. Kolman1.531111113T. Kanka2.3879100WAug 22 · 07:30P. Orlowski1.579740T. Kanka2.251111113LAug 22 · 07:00T. Kanka2.3894111162L. Kolman1.53111199113
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