TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13094600
Played Sep 8Finished
Tomas Kanka
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116611611511––
Zdenek Vasatko
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:40 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeZdenek Vasatko to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Kanka above · Zdenek Vasatko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 67 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Zdenek Vasatko at 60.8%
67 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:40What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Vasatko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kanka 1581 vs Vasatko 1668
Vasatko
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanka 60% vs Vasatko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanka 40% vs Vasatko 60%
Vasatko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanka -2 · Vasatko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Vasatko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kanka form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanka 2.38 / Vasatko 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Vasatko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13094600
Kanka2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 46 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back27% 19 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back13% 5 of 40
Vasatko1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 39 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it89% 24 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it86% 30 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKankaVasatkoBasisWin rate · lifetime182 / 375 vs 142 / 28848.5%49.3%182 / 375 vs 142 / 288Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VasatkoKanka 2.38/Vasatko 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Vasatko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vasatko won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
T. Kanka10
LSep 8 · 11:15T. Kanka1.911312491M. Svitac1.80111411113LSep 8 · 09:15T. Kanka2.50491111102L. Kolman1.50111175123LAug 30 · 08:58L. Kolman1.501111512113T. Kanka2.50913111092WAug 30 · 07:30T. Kanka1.80711119113A. Pavlik1.9111961192WAug 30 · 06:30T. Kanka1.731111133R. Merkl2.0086110WAug 30 · 05:30T. Kanka2.63111166113L. Kolman1.4496111152LAug 22 · 09:04L. Kolman1.531111113T. Kanka2.3879100WAug 22 · 07:30P. Orlowski1.579740T. Kanka2.251111113LAug 22 · 07:00T. Kanka2.3894111162L. Kolman1.53111199113LAug 22 · 06:00T. Kanka1.80881181R. Merkl1.9111115113
Z. Vasatko10
WSep 8 · 09:45M. Svitac2.00119111052Z. Vasatko1.73311912113LSep 7 · 12:58L. Kolman1.40111111113Z. Vasatko2.75913691LSep 7 · 12:00Z. Vasatko2.004980L. Kolman1.731111113WSep 7 · 10:30M. Svitac1.9131111692Z. Vasatko1.80119811113WSep 7 · 09:58M. Bruk3.00118119102Z. Vasatko1.36911511123WSep 5 · 16:18Z. Vasatko2.50129144113P. Semrad1.501011121162LSep 5 · 15:15P. Semrad1.807111111113Z. Vasatko1.9111741382WSep 5 · 14:45Z. Vasatko3.0051111123L. Smazik1.361184101WSep 5 · 13:45Z. Vasatko2.00111192M. Svitac1.739990LSep 4 · 12:43Z. Vasatko1.8311990M. Hajek1.831311113
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