TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111487
Played Sep 10Finished
Zdenek Kuksa
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119119811119––
Vit Herrmann
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingZdenek Kuksa above · Vit Herrmann below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 79 set 4, 11-9
79 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Kuksa 6–7 Vit Herrmann Zdenek Kuksa has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Kuksa beat Herrmann 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kuksa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Herrmann form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuksa 1.67 / Herrmann 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kuksa)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13111487
Kuksa1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 81 of 130
Up 2–0, closes it87% 41 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it75% 64 of 85
Herrmann2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog52% won 67 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back31% 18 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKuksa5wins
AwayHerrmann5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuksa66.7%4 of 6
AwayHerrmann75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuksa6Herrmann4n = 10Kuksa took 6 of 10
S2Kuksa5Herrmann5n = 10split evenly
S3Kuksa6Herrmann4n = 10Kuksa took 6 of 10
S4Kuksa5Herrmann4n = 9Kuksa took 5 of 9
S5Kuksa1Herrmann3n = 4Herrmann took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKuksaHerrmannK − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.437.5+2.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuksaHerrmannBasisWin rate · lifetime255 / 501 vs 217 / 44150.9%49.2%255 / 501 vs 217 / 441Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuksaKuksa 1.67/Herrmann 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kuksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kuksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 19:45Z. Kuksa—51111113V. Herrmann—115941
WAug 13 · 20:00Z. Kuksa—1111113V. Herrmann—6570
LApr 6 · 12:44Z. Kuksa—1011821V. Herrmann—12711113
WApr 6 · 10:45Z. Kuksa—1171110113V. Herrmann—61191252
LNov 17 · 13:44Z. Kuksa—87111292V. Herrmann—1111710113
LNov 17 · 11:00Z. Kuksa—88111162V. Herrmann—111133113
WOct 24 · 13:05Z. Kuksa—12119113V. Herrmann—1081191
LOct 24 · 10:00Z. Kuksa—117891V. Herrmann—91111113
LOct 20 · 13:05Z. Kuksa—11811642V. Herrmann—411611113
WOct 20 · 12:00Z. Kuksa—111110113V. Herrmann—471291
Z. Kuksa10
WSep 10 · 19:45V. Herrmann1.83115941Z. Kuksa1.8351111113WSep 10 · 18:45P. Provaznik1.407511101Z. Kuksa2.7511119102WSep 10 · 17:15O. Chadima2.0012991162Z. Kuksa1.731011119113WSep 7 · 20:13J. Tichy2.63811371Z. Kuksa1.4411811113LSep 7 · 19:15T. Bertho1.7311118102Z. Kuksa2.008911101WSep 7 · 18:45Z. Kuksa1.731111113J. Tichy2.004750LSep 7 · 17:45Z. Kuksa1.5385110V. Toman2.381111133WSep 5 · 08:29Z. Kuksa1.80111111113M. Cizek1.91713761LSep 5 · 07:30M. Cizek2.00712118113Z. Kuksa1.73111031182LSep 5 · 07:00Z. Kuksa1.80111371392J. Juppa1.918151111113
V. Herrmann10
LSep 10 · 19:45V. Herrmann1.83115941Z. Kuksa1.8351111113LSep 10 · 18:15O. Chadima1.91817911123V. Herrmann1.801115119102WSep 10 · 17:45P. Provaznik1.831011961V. Herrmann1.8312911113WSep 6 · 13:00J. Juppa1.50911791V. Herrmann2.5011811113WSep 6 · 11:30V. Herrmann1.9114911113S. Kalensky1.801211691LSep 6 · 10:30V. Herrmann1.80891181J. Juppa1.9111113113WSep 6 · 09:30V. Herrmann1.83111011113T. Bertho1.83512931WSep 5 · 12:49L. Kolman1.57107111282V. Herrmann2.251211910103WSep 5 · 11:15P. Maly1.6112111171V. Herrmann2.2014138103LSep 5 · 10:45V. Herrmann2.5013990L. Kolman1.501511113
Upcoming Matches
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V. Herrmann
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