TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13117092
Played Sep 12Finished
Zdenek Kuksa
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12107111412211311
David Brichacek
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:34 and never touched — 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timeDavid Brichacek to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZdenek Kuksa above · David Brichacek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 2-11
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 93 set 5, 3-11 — our read held David Brichacek at 63.6%
93 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Kuksa 0–1 David Brichacek Zdenek Kuksa has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:34What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Brichacek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kuksa 1556 vs Brichacek 1724
Brichacek
Correct
both rated, 168 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuksa 100% vs Brichacek 80%
Kuksa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuksa 70% vs Brichacek 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuksa +5 · Brichacek +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Brichacek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brichacek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuksa 2.38 / Brichacek 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Brichacek)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13117092
Kuksa2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog51% won 55 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back22% 10 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Brichacek1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 110 of 191
Up 2–0, closes it94% 59 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it78% 79 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKuksa0wins
AwayBrichacek1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderBrichacek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKuksaBrichacekK − BBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match42.047.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuksaBrichacekBasisWin rate · lifetime256 / 502 vs 168 / 31651%53.2%256 / 502 vs 168 / 316Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrichacekKuksa 2.38/Brichacek 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.6%
Brichacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Brichacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJun 6 · 07:45Z. Kuksa—85111172D. Brichacek—111168113
Z. Kuksa10
LSep 12 · 07:15M. Taranko1.73711127113Z. Kuksa2.00116101172WSep 12 · 06:45Z. Kuksa1.7311911113T. Kanka2.00711471WSep 10 · 20:43Z. Kuksa1.6711118113V. Herrmann2.10991191WSep 10 · 19:45V. Herrmann1.83115941Z. Kuksa1.8351111113WSep 10 · 18:45P. Provaznik1.407511101Z. Kuksa2.7511119102WSep 10 · 17:15O. Chadima2.0012991162Z. Kuksa1.731011119113WSep 7 · 20:13J. Tichy2.63811371Z. Kuksa1.4411811113LSep 7 · 19:15T. Bertho1.7311118102Z. Kuksa2.008911101WSep 7 · 18:45Z. Kuksa1.731111113J. Tichy2.004750LSep 7 · 17:45Z. Kuksa1.5385110V. Toman2.381111133
D. Brichacek10
WSep 12 · 06:15M. Taranko2.633870D. Brichacek1.441111113WSep 7 · 20:59D. Brichacek2.101111123P. Orlowski1.6775100WSep 7 · 20:00S. Kalensky3.50512741D. Brichacek1.28111011113WSep 7 · 19:00A. Pavlik1.80118691D. Brichacek1.9171111113LSep 7 · 17:30P. Orlowski1.83111110113D. Brichacek1.83571261WSep 6 · 08:58D. Brichacek1.401611911133T. Hanke2.75187116112WSep 6 · 07:45L. Stoces2.3886121122D. Brichacek1.531111106113WSep 6 · 06:45T. Hanke2.7511711462D. Brichacek1.40711611113WSep 6 · 05:15M. Taranko2.104960D. Brichacek1.671111113LSep 5 · 21:00D. Brichacek1.22131111982O. Chadima4.00155211113
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