David Brichacek vs Tomas Kanka 0-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13116770

Played Sep 12Finished

David Brichacek

Home

1.57

At publish

Won last 5

Form at publish

9–1Last 10Won last 5

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

91115171113––––

Tomas Kanka

Away

2.25

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:43 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%

Graded at full time

David Brichacek to win

61.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingDavid Brichacek above · Tomas Kanka below

Set 1 · 9-11

Set 2 · 15-17

Set 3 · 11-13

Point 76 set 3, 11-13 — our read held David Brichacek at 61.7%

76 points played in total.

H2H David Brichacek 3–2 Tomas Kanka Tomas Kanka has won 2 of their 5 meetings.

Last 5 · 3–2Same sideHead to head

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 20:43

What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.57 (59%)

Brichacek

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

3-2 in 5

—

Too close

gap of 1, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Brichacek 1695 vs Kanka 1593

Brichacek

Wrong

both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Brichacek 100% vs Kanka 20%

Brichacek

Wrong

80pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Brichacek 90% vs Kanka 40%

Brichacek

Wrong

50pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Brichacek +5 · Kanka -2

Brichacek

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Brichacek)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kanka form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsBrichacek 1.57 / Kanka 2.25

Signal prob.62% / 38%

Edge (Brichacek)+3.2pp

Setka Cup · #13116770

Brichacek1.57

90%won 9 of 10 · last 10

Won last 5

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite58% won 110 of 191

Up 2–0, closes it94% 59 of 63

Up 1–0, closes it78% 79 of 102

Kanka2.25

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog40% won 47 of 119

Down 0–1, comes back26% 19 of 72

Down 0–2, comes back12% 5 of 41

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 5 meetings

HomeBrichacek3wins

AwayKanka2wins

2 of 5 to a deciderBrichacek leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeBrichacekn = 2, below the 3 needed

AwayKanka66.7%2 of 3

Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Brichacek2Kanka3n = 5Kanka took 3 of 5

S2Brichacek3Kanka2n = 5Brichacek took 3 of 5

S3Brichacek2Kanka3n = 5Kanka took 3 of 5

S4Brichacek1Kanka2n = 3Kanka took 2 of 3

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home120%

3–1Four sets, home00%

3–2Decider, home240%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away120%

0–3Straight, away120%

These 5 meetings

MetricBrichacekKankaB − KBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match40.639.0+1.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricBrichacekKankaBasisWin rate · lifetime170 / 319 vs 181 / 37353.3%48.5%170 / 319 vs 181 / 373Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.3per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Brichacek

Brichacek 1.57/Kanka 2.25

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

62.1%

Brichacek · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Kanka won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record5

LSep 12 · 07:45D. Brichacek—915110T. Kanka—1117133

WJun 25 · 18:00D. Brichacek—1111113T. Kanka—7740

WJun 20 · 06:15D. Brichacek—111175113T. Kanka—76111172

WMay 1 · 17:30D. Brichacek—9101211123T. Kanka—1112107102

LMar 29 · 10:00D. Brichacek—1111591T. Kanka—13911113

D. Brichacek10

WSep 12 · 06:15M. Taranko2.633870D. Brichacek1.441111113 WSep 12 · 05:45Z. Kuksa2.3812714232D. Brichacek1.5310111211113 WSep 7 · 20:59D. Brichacek2.101111123P. Orlowski1.6775100 WSep 7 · 20:00S. Kalensky3.50512741D. Brichacek1.28111011113 WSep 7 · 19:00A. Pavlik1.80118691D. Brichacek1.9171111113 LSep 7 · 17:30P. Orlowski1.83111110113D. Brichacek1.83571261 WSep 6 · 08:58D. Brichacek1.401611911133T. Hanke2.75187116112 WSep 6 · 07:45L. Stoces2.3886121122D. Brichacek1.531111106113 WSep 6 · 06:45T. Hanke2.7511711462D. Brichacek1.40711611113 WSep 6 · 05:15M. Taranko2.104960D. Brichacek1.671111113

T. Kanka10

LSep 12 · 08:24T. Kanka2.2018760Z. Kuksa1.612011113 LSep 12 · 06:45Z. Kuksa1.7311911113T. Kanka2.00711471 LSep 12 · 05:15M. Taranko2.6351115113T. Kanka1.441141391 WSep 8 · 12:14L. Kolman1.5051080T. Kanka2.501112113 LSep 8 · 11:15T. Kanka1.911312491M. Svitac1.80111411113 LSep 8 · 10:15T. Kanka2.38116651Z. Vasatko1.5361111113 LSep 8 · 09:15T. Kanka2.50491111102L. Kolman1.50111175123 LAug 30 · 08:58L. Kolman1.501111512113T. Kanka2.50913111092 WAug 30 · 07:30T. Kanka1.80711119113A. Pavlik1.9111961192 WAug 30 · 06:30T. Kanka1.731111133R. Merkl2.0086110

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