TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13119203
Played Sep 12Finished
Tomas Kanka
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1820711611––––
Zdenek Kuksa
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingTomas Kanka above · Zdenek Kuksa below
Set 1 · 18-20
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 73 set 3, 6-11
73 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kanka 2–3 Zdenek Kuksa Tomas Kanka has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Kuksa beat Kanka 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kuksa)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanka 2.20 / Kuksa 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Kuksa)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13119203
Kanka2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 47 of 119
Down 0–1, comes back26% 19 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back12% 5 of 41
Kuksa1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 81 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it87% 41 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it75% 63 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKanka2wins
AwayKuksa3wins
2 of 5 to a deciderKuksa leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKanka66.7%2 of 3
AwayKuksan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kanka3Kuksa2n = 5Kanka took 3 of 5
S2Kanka3Kuksa2n = 5Kanka took 3 of 5
S3Kanka0Kuksa5n = 5Kuksa took 5 of 5
S4Kanka2Kuksa2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricKankaKuksaKanka − KuksaBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match34.642.0−7.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKankaKuksaBasisWin rate · lifetime181 / 373 vs 257 / 50548.5%50.9%181 / 373 vs 257 / 505Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.340.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuksaKanka 2.20/Kuksa 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Kuksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kuksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 12 · 06:45T. Kanka—711471Z. Kuksa—11911113
WJun 29 · 08:00T. Kanka—1111311113Z. Kuksa—88111382
LJun 27 · 07:45T. Kanka—7930Z. Kuksa—1111113
WSep 6 · 09:15T. Kanka—11134113Z. Kuksa—6111171
LSep 6 · 07:45T. Kanka—111041132Z. Kuksa—912119113
T. Kanka10
WSep 12 · 07:45D. Brichacek1.57915110T. Kanka2.251117133LSep 12 · 06:45Z. Kuksa1.7311911113T. Kanka2.00711471LSep 12 · 05:15M. Taranko2.6351115113T. Kanka1.441141391WSep 8 · 12:14L. Kolman1.5051080T. Kanka2.501112113LSep 8 · 11:15T. Kanka1.911312491M. Svitac1.80111411113LSep 8 · 10:15T. Kanka2.38116651Z. Vasatko1.5361111113LSep 8 · 09:15T. Kanka2.50491111102L. Kolman1.50111175123LAug 30 · 08:58L. Kolman1.501111512113T. Kanka2.50913111092WAug 30 · 07:30T. Kanka1.80711119113A. Pavlik1.9111961192WAug 30 · 06:30T. Kanka1.731111133R. Merkl2.0086110
Z. Kuksa10
LSep 12 · 07:15M. Taranko1.73711127113Z. Kuksa2.00116101172WSep 12 · 06:45Z. Kuksa1.7311911113T. Kanka2.00711471LSep 12 · 05:45Z. Kuksa2.3812714232D. Brichacek1.5310111211113WSep 10 · 20:43Z. Kuksa1.6711118113V. Herrmann2.10991191WSep 10 · 19:45V. Herrmann1.83115941Z. Kuksa1.8351111113WSep 10 · 18:45P. Provaznik1.407511101Z. Kuksa2.7511119102WSep 10 · 17:15O. Chadima2.0012991162Z. Kuksa1.731011119113WSep 7 · 20:13J. Tichy2.63811371Z. Kuksa1.4411811113LSep 7 · 19:15T. Bertho1.7311118102Z. Kuksa2.008911101WSep 7 · 18:45Z. Kuksa1.731111113J. Tichy2.004750
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