TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126576
Played Sep 14Finished
Petr Maly
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1157111113115911
Zdenek Kuksa
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Maly to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Maly above · Zdenek Kuksa below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 94 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Petr Maly at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Petr Maly 3–2 Zdenek Kuksa Zdenek Kuksa has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:26What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kuksa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maly 1510 vs Kuksa 1565
Kuksa
Correct
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maly 40% vs Kuksa 60%
Kuksa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maly 60% vs Kuksa 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maly -3 · Kuksa +1
Maly
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Maly)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maly form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaly 1.83 / Kuksa 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Maly)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13126576
Maly1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
Kuksa1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeMaly3wins
AwayKuksa2wins
Maly leads 3–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaly75%3 of 4
AwayKuksan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maly4Kuksa1n = 5Maly took 4 of 5
S2Maly3Kuksa2n = 5Maly took 3 of 5
S3Maly3Kuksa2n = 5Maly took 3 of 5
S4Maly1Kuksa2n = 3Kuksa took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricMalyKuksaM − KBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match38.433.0+5.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMalyKuksaBasisWin rate · lifetime237 / 444 vs 254 / 49853.4%51%237 / 444 vs 254 / 498Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.640.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MalyMaly 1.83/Kuksa 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Maly · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kuksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LApr 20 · 20:00P. Maly3710111151Z. Kuksa4412138113
WSep 27 · 09:15P. Maly4311129113Z. Kuksa305101141
LSep 1 · 18:45P. Maly4415108111Z. Kuksa49131211133
WJul 20 · 12:11P. Maly341112113Z. Kuksa2041060
WJul 20 · 10:45P. Maly341211113Z. Kuksa2210480
P. Maly10
LSep 13 · 16:23J. Snr2.20891111113P. Maly1.6111119672LSep 13 · 15:15P. Maly2.004270T. Hybl1.731111113LSep 13 · 14:15P. Maly2.0011117572D. Brichacek1.73591111113WSep 13 · 13:15P. Maly1.6115117113J. Snr2.201361191WSep 11 · 21:08P. Maly1.571112113L. Krasl2.2591070WSep 11 · 20:00P. Maly1.67119113113V. Herrmann2.1091181192WSep 11 · 18:30L. Krasl1.914115111P. Maly1.8011911133WSep 11 · 18:00J. Snr2.2091151142P. Maly1.61116117113LSep 8 · 20:43J. Simek1.539171110143P. Maly2.381115412122WSep 8 · 19:15P. Maly2.001111113R. Merkl1.739770
Z. Kuksa10
LSep 14 · 18:15T. Bertho1.831211511113Z. Kuksa1.83101311582WSep 12 · 08:24T. Kanka2.2018760Z. Kuksa1.612011113LSep 12 · 07:15M. Taranko1.73711127113Z. Kuksa2.00116101172WSep 12 · 06:45Z. Kuksa1.7311911113T. Kanka2.00711471LSep 12 · 05:45Z. Kuksa2.3812714232D. Brichacek1.5310111211113WSep 10 · 20:43Z. Kuksa1.6711118113V. Herrmann2.10991191WSep 10 · 19:45V. Herrmann1.83115941Z. Kuksa1.8351111113WSep 10 · 18:45P. Provaznik1.407511101Z. Kuksa2.7511119102WSep 10 · 17:15O. Chadima2.0012991162Z. Kuksa1.731011119113WSep 7 · 20:13J. Tichy2.63811371Z. Kuksa1.4411811113
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