TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122092
Played Sep 13Finished
Petr Maly
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115119711511711
David Brichacek
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Brichacek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Maly above · David Brichacek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 88 set 5, 7-11 — our read held David Brichacek at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Petr Maly 5–2 David Brichacek David Brichacek has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:57What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Brichacek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Maly
Wrong
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maly 1544 vs Brichacek 1724
Brichacek
Correct
both rated, 179 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maly 100% vs Brichacek 80%
Maly
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maly 70% vs Brichacek 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Maly +5 · Brichacek +2
Maly
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Brichacek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brichacek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaly 2.00 / Brichacek 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Brichacek)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13122092
Maly2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog52% won 34 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back37% 14 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back20% 4 of 20
Brichacek1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 109 of 184
Up 2–0, closes it94% 58 of 62
Up 1–0, closes it79% 78 of 99
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMaly5wins
AwayBrichacek2wins
1 of 7 to a deciderMaly leads 5–2, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaly75%3 of 4
AwayBrichacek33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maly4Brichacek3n = 7Maly took 4 of 7
S2Maly4Brichacek3n = 7Maly took 4 of 7
S3Maly3Brichacek4n = 7Brichacek took 4 of 7
S4Maly5Brichacek2n = 7Maly took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home457%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricMalyBrichacekM − BBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match40.341.3−1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMalyBrichacekBasisWin rate · lifetime237 / 441 vs 172 / 32153.7%53.6%237 / 441 vs 172 / 321Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrichacekMaly 2.00/Brichacek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.3%
Brichacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Brichacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 28 · 18:00P. Maly32118581D. Brichacek3961111113
WAug 25 · 19:00P. Maly4691112143D. Brichacek4211910121
WAug 23 · 15:30P. Maly4113611113D. Brichacek401111991
WAug 22 · 10:30P. Maly4113116113D. Brichacek351141191
LAug 12 · 20:43P. Maly28911351D. Brichacek4211911113
WAug 12 · 18:15P. Maly4111811113D. Brichacek38911991
WJul 30 · 19:30P. Maly531212612113D. Brichacek531410111082
P. Maly10
WSep 13 · 13:15P. Maly1.6115117113J. Snr2.201361191WSep 11 · 21:08P. Maly1.571112113L. Krasl2.2591070WSep 11 · 20:00P. Maly1.67119113113V. Herrmann2.1091181192WSep 11 · 18:30L. Krasl1.914115111P. Maly1.8011911133WSep 11 · 18:00J. Snr2.2091151142P. Maly1.61116117113LSep 8 · 20:43J. Simek1.539171110143P. Maly2.381115412122WSep 8 · 19:15P. Maly2.001111113R. Merkl1.739770LSep 8 · 18:15P. Maly2.251211512102J. Simek1.571431110123WSep 8 · 17:15P. Maly1.8391111113J. Juppa1.83114381LSep 5 · 12:19V. Lopata1.67101111113P. Maly2.10126851
D. Brichacek10
WSep 13 · 13:45T. Hybl1.613118101D. Brichacek2.2011711123WSep 12 · 08:54D. Brichacek1.4081111113M. Taranko2.75119961LSep 12 · 07:45D. Brichacek1.57915110T. Kanka2.251117133WSep 12 · 06:15M. Taranko2.633870D. Brichacek1.441111113WSep 12 · 05:45Z. Kuksa2.3812714232D. Brichacek1.5310111211113WSep 7 · 20:59D. Brichacek2.101111123P. Orlowski1.6775100WSep 7 · 20:00S. Kalensky3.50512741D. Brichacek1.28111011113WSep 7 · 19:00A. Pavlik1.80118691D. Brichacek1.9171111113LSep 7 · 17:30P. Orlowski1.83111110113D. Brichacek1.83571261WSep 6 · 08:58D. Brichacek1.401611911133T. Hanke2.75187116112
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