TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116987
Played Sep 11Finished
Petr Maly
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191210117––––
Libor Krasl
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingPetr Maly above · Libor Krasl below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 60 set 3, 11-7
60 points played in total.
H2H Petr Maly 5–2 Libor Krasl Libor Krasl has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Maly beat Krasl 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Maly)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krasl form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaly 1.57 / Krasl 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Maly)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13116987
Maly1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 67 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it90% 28 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it68% 48 of 71
Krasl2.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 10 of 23
Down 0–1, comes back27% 4 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back22% 2 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMaly5wins
AwayKrasl2wins
1 of 7 to a deciderMaly leads 5–2, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaly100%4 of 4
AwayKrasl66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maly4Krasl3n = 7Maly took 4 of 7
S2Maly1Krasl6n = 7Krasl took 6 of 7
S3Maly6Krasl1n = 7Maly took 6 of 7
S4Maly4Krasl2n = 6Maly took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home457%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricMalyKraslM − KBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match40.636.9+3.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMalyKraslBasisWin rate · lifetime237 / 443 vs 105 / 18353.5%57.4%237 / 443 vs 105 / 183Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MalyMaly 1.57/Krasl 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Maly · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Maly won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 11 · 18:30P. Maly—11911133L. Krasl—4115111
WAug 5 · 21:03P. Maly—11711113L. Krasl—911481
WAug 5 · 17:30P. Maly—91111113L. Krasl—116791
WApr 5 · 09:30P. Maly—115129113L. Krasl—611101192
LMar 28 · 16:45P. Maly—1061121L. Krasl—12118103
WMar 7 · 16:45P. Maly—111015113L. Krasl—5121331
LFeb 21 · 16:30P. Maly—89170L. Krasl—1111193
P. Maly10
WSep 11 · 20:00P. Maly1.67119113113V. Herrmann2.1091181192WSep 11 · 18:30L. Krasl1.914115111P. Maly1.8011911133WSep 11 · 18:00J. Snr2.2091151142P. Maly1.61116117113LSep 8 · 20:43J. Simek1.539171110143P. Maly2.381115412122WSep 8 · 19:15P. Maly2.001111113R. Merkl1.739770LSep 8 · 18:15P. Maly2.251211512102J. Simek1.571431110123WSep 8 · 17:15P. Maly1.8391111113J. Juppa1.83114381LSep 5 · 12:19V. Lopata1.67101111113P. Maly2.10126851LSep 5 · 11:15P. Maly1.6112111171V. Herrmann2.2014138103WSep 5 · 10:15P. Maly2.00119713113V. Lopata1.73511111142
L. Krasl10
WSep 11 · 19:30L. Krasl1.9121511123J. Snr1.8011135101LSep 11 · 18:30L. Krasl1.914115111P. Maly1.8011911133WSep 11 · 17:30L. Krasl1.40116135113V. Herrmann2.758111111102WAug 19 · 20:29L. Krasl1.40991311113V. Toman2.75111111872WAug 19 · 19:30V. Toman1.834970L. Krasl1.831111113WAug 19 · 19:00L. Krasl1.67116118113K. Farsky2.1081141162WAug 19 · 18:00L. Krasl1.911211139123J. Marhol1.801421111102WAug 11 · 21:13J. Mejzlik2.0096111182L. Krasl1.73111145113LAug 11 · 20:00L. Krasl1.8011147842J. Mejzlik1.916121111113WAug 11 · 18:30M. Drabek2.20119981L. Krasl1.6191111113
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