TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111192
Played Sep 11Finished
Libor Krasl
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
21115131151210––
Jakub Nemecek Snr
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:43 and never touched — 61.4% is still 61.4%
Graded at full timeLibor Krasl to win
61.4%
61.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLibor Krasl above · Jakub Nemecek Snr below
Set 1 · 2-11
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 79 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Libor Krasl at 61.4%
79 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:43What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Snr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Krasl 1526 vs Snr 1525
Krasl
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krasl 80% vs Snr 20%
Krasl
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krasl 70% vs Snr 40%
Krasl
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krasl -1 · Snr -3
Snr
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Snr) · live re-read · sealed at 39% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Snr form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrasl 1.91 / Snr 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Snr)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13111192
Krasl1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 10 of 23
Down 0–1, comes back27% 4 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back22% 2 of 9
Snr1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKraslSnrBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 182 vs 57 / 13957.1%41%104 / 182 vs 57 / 139Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SnrKrasl 1.91/Snr 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Snr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Krasl won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Krasl10
LSep 11 · 18:30L. Krasl1.914115111P. Maly1.8011911133WSep 11 · 17:30L. Krasl1.40116135113V. Herrmann2.758111111102WAug 19 · 20:29L. Krasl1.40991311113V. Toman2.75111111872WAug 19 · 19:30V. Toman1.834970L. Krasl1.831111113WAug 19 · 19:00L. Krasl1.67116118113K. Farsky2.1081141162WAug 19 · 18:00L. Krasl1.911211139123J. Marhol1.801421111102WAug 11 · 21:13J. Mejzlik2.0096111182L. Krasl1.73111145113LAug 11 · 20:00L. Krasl1.8011147842J. Mejzlik1.916121111113WAug 11 · 18:30M. Drabek2.20119981L. Krasl1.6191111113LAug 11 · 18:00J. Hanacek2.2511115113L. Krasl1.57951181
J. Snr10
LSep 11 · 19:00J. Snr2.00117831V. Herrmann1.7361111113LSep 11 · 18:00J. Snr2.2091151142P. Maly1.61116117113LSep 3 · 21:13S. Kalensky1.7361111113J. Snr2.00118871WSep 3 · 19:30J. Snr2.101211119113M. Cizek1.6714751172LSep 3 · 18:30J. Snr2.0061111242S. Kalensky1.73117811113WSep 3 · 17:30J. Snr1.73871111113F. Kubos2.0011118572LSep 1 · 20:58S. Kalensky1.8371113113J. Snr1.831181151WSep 1 · 19:30J. Snr2.501113133M. Cizek1.50411110LSep 1 · 18:30J. Snr1.8081151152S. Kalensky1.91114119113WSep 1 · 17:30J. Snr2.20122911113J. Juppa1.61101111632
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