TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111408
Played Sep 11Finished
Libor Krasl
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
4111195111113––
Petr Maly
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:22 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Maly to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLibor Krasl above · Petr Maly below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 75 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Petr Maly at 54.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Libor Krasl 2–4 Petr Maly Libor Krasl has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:22What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Maly
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Maly
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krasl 1540 vs Maly 1477
Krasl
Wrong
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krasl 100% vs Maly 40%
Krasl
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krasl 70% vs Maly 30%
Krasl
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krasl +5 · Maly -1
Krasl
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Maly)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maly form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrasl 1.91 / Maly 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Maly)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13111408
Krasl1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 10 of 23
Down 0–1, comes back27% 4 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back22% 2 of 9
Maly1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 67 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it90% 28 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it68% 48 of 71
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKrasl2wins
AwayMaly4wins
1 of 6 to a deciderMaly leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrasl66.7%2 of 3
AwayMaly100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krasl3Maly3n = 6split evenly
S2Krasl5Maly1n = 6Krasl took 5 of 6
S3Krasl1Maly5n = 6Maly took 5 of 6
S4Krasl2Maly3n = 5Maly took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away350%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricKraslMalyK − MBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match37.840.0−2.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKraslMalyBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 181 vs 235 / 44457.5%52.9%104 / 181 vs 235 / 444Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MalyKrasl 1.91/Maly 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Maly · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Maly won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 5 · 21:03L. Krasl—911481P. Maly—11711113
LAug 5 · 17:30L. Krasl—116791P. Maly—91111113
LApr 5 · 09:30L. Krasl—611101192P. Maly—115129113
WMar 28 · 16:45L. Krasl—12118103P. Maly—1061121
LMar 7 · 16:45L. Krasl—5121331P. Maly—111015113
WFeb 21 · 16:30L. Krasl—1111193P. Maly—89170
L. Krasl10
WSep 11 · 17:30L. Krasl1.40116135113V. Herrmann2.758111111102WAug 19 · 20:29L. Krasl1.40991311113V. Toman2.75111111872WAug 19 · 19:30V. Toman1.834970L. Krasl1.831111113WAug 19 · 19:00L. Krasl1.67116118113K. Farsky2.1081141162WAug 19 · 18:00L. Krasl1.911211139123J. Marhol1.801421111102WAug 11 · 21:13J. Mejzlik2.0096111182L. Krasl1.73111145113LAug 11 · 20:00L. Krasl1.8011147842J. Mejzlik1.916121111113WAug 11 · 18:30M. Drabek2.20119981L. Krasl1.6191111113LAug 11 · 18:00J. Hanacek2.2511115113L. Krasl1.57951181LAug 10 · 20:38L. Krasl2.006440Z. Kuksa1.731111113
P. Maly10
WSep 11 · 18:00J. Snr2.2091151142P. Maly1.61116117113LSep 8 · 20:43J. Simek1.539171110143P. Maly2.381115412122WSep 8 · 19:15P. Maly2.001111113R. Merkl1.739770LSep 8 · 18:15P. Maly2.251211512102J. Simek1.571431110123WSep 8 · 17:15P. Maly1.8391111113J. Juppa1.83114381LSep 5 · 12:19V. Lopata1.67101111113P. Maly2.10126851LSep 5 · 11:15P. Maly1.6112111171V. Herrmann2.2014138103WSep 5 · 10:15P. Maly2.00119713113V. Lopata1.73511111142LSep 5 · 09:15P. Maly2.25124871L. Kolman1.57101111113LSep 2 · 20:34P. Maly1.91613631J. Jnr1.80111111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.