TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100856
Played Sep 8Finished
Jakub Simek
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911171511410121412
Petr Maly
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJakub Simek above · Petr Maly below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 17-15
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 14-12
Point 115 set 5, 14-12
115 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Simek 3–0 Petr Maly Petr Maly has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Simek beat Maly 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Simek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSimek 1.53 / Maly 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Simek)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13100856
Simek1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite41% won 7 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it57% 4 of 7
Maly2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog54% won 41 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back35% 14 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back18% 4 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSimek3wins
AwayMaly0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderSimek leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Simek1Maly2n = 3Maly took 2 of 3
S2Simek2Maly1n = 3Simek took 2 of 3
S3Simek3Maly0n = 3Simek took 3 of 3
S4Simek2Maly1n = 3Simek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSimekMalyS − MBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match43.038.3+4.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSimekMalyBasisWin rate · lifetime79 / 157 vs 235 / 44350.3%53.1%79 / 157 vs 235 / 443Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.039.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SimekSimek 1.53/Maly 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.6%
Simek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Simek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 8 · 18:15J. Simek—1431110123P. Maly—1211512102
WAug 25 · 20:58J. Simek—71111113P. Maly—118551
WAug 25 · 20:00J. Simek—41311113P. Maly—1111591
J. Simek10
LSep 8 · 19:45J. Simek1.50711851J. Juppa2.5011711113WSep 8 · 18:15P. Maly2.251211512102J. Simek1.571431110123WSep 8 · 17:45R. Merkl2.38811571J. Simek1.5311811113WSep 4 · 16:59J. Simek1.73111172O. Horak2.0078111LSep 4 · 15:45J. Simek1.8312511582M. Bruk1.831011511113WSep 4 · 14:15P. Provaznik2.0011761172J. Simek1.73711117113WSep 4 · 13:45O. Horak1.83971191J. Simek1.8311119113WSep 3 · 16:34J. Simek1.4411711113T. Hybl2.63611751WSep 3 · 15:30T. Hybl1.7311611672J. Simek2.00511811113LSep 3 · 15:00J. Simek2.638990D. Marasek1.441111113
P. Maly10
WSep 8 · 19:15P. Maly2.001111113R. Merkl1.739770LSep 8 · 18:15P. Maly2.251211512102J. Simek1.571431110123WSep 8 · 17:15P. Maly1.8391111113J. Juppa1.83114381LSep 5 · 12:19V. Lopata1.67101111113P. Maly2.10126851LSep 5 · 11:15P. Maly1.6112111171V. Herrmann2.2014138103WSep 5 · 10:15P. Maly2.00119713113V. Lopata1.73511111142LSep 5 · 09:15P. Maly2.25124871L. Kolman1.57101111113LSep 2 · 20:34P. Maly1.91613631J. Jnr1.80111111113LSep 2 · 20:00M. Hajek1.57111112113P. Maly2.25781491LSep 2 · 19:00R. Merkl1.911111113P. Maly1.808960
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