TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078463
Played Sep 4Finished
Jakub Simek
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 1
Set by set
117118711––––
Ondrej Horak
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingJakub Simek above · Ondrej Horak below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 55 set 3, 7-11
55 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Simek 1–1 Ondrej Horak Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Simek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Horak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSimek 1.73 / Horak 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Simek)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13078463
Simek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite36% won 5 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it60% 3 of 5
Horak2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 30 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back30% 13 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSimek1wins
AwayHorak1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricSimekHorakS − HBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match29.034.5−5.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSimekHorakBasisWin rate · lifetime76 / 153 vs 95 / 19549.7%48.7%76 / 153 vs 95 / 195Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SimekSimek 1.73/Horak 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Simek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–1
Simek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 4 · 13:45J. Simek—11119113O. Horak—971191
LSep 4 · 14:15J. Simek—3580O. Horak—1111113
J. Simek10
LSep 4 · 15:45J. Simek1.8312511582M. Bruk1.831011511113WSep 4 · 14:15P. Provaznik2.0011761172J. Simek1.73711117113WSep 4 · 13:45O. Horak1.83971191J. Simek1.8311119113WSep 3 · 16:34J. Simek1.4411711113T. Hybl2.63611751WSep 3 · 15:30T. Hybl1.7311611672J. Simek2.00511811113LSep 3 · 15:00J. Simek2.638990D. Marasek1.441111113LSep 3 · 14:00J. Simek2.755121171P. Semrad1.4011147113WAug 25 · 20:58P. Maly1.91118551J. Simek1.8071111113WAug 25 · 20:00J. Simek1.8341311113P. Maly1.831111591LAug 25 · 18:30P. Hala2.001111113J. Simek1.737970
O. Horak10
WSep 4 · 15:15P. Provaznik1.91118111452O. Horak1.809111312113WSep 4 · 14:45O. Horak1.80111012113M. Bruk1.916121081LSep 4 · 13:45O. Horak1.83971191J. Simek1.8311119113WAug 27 · 16:54Z. Kuksa1.91149931O. Horak1.80121111113WAug 27 · 15:15T. Hanke2.101081361O. Horak1.67121111113LAug 27 · 14:45O. Horak1.73111191262Z. Kuksa2.001371110113WAug 27 · 13:45O. Horak1.91111197113M. Soukup1.8079111172LAug 21 · 16:14D. Marasek1.25111210113O. Horak3.752101231LAug 21 · 15:15P. Semrad1.401111113O. Horak2.757380LAug 21 · 14:45O. Horak2.75119671T. Hybl1.4051111113
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