TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13015284
Played Aug 25Finished
Petr Maly
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117811511511––
Jakub Simek
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingPetr Maly above · Jakub Simek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 69 set 4, 5-11
69 points played in total.
H2H Petr Maly 0–1 Jakub Simek Petr Maly has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Simek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Simek form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaly 1.91 / Simek 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Simek)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13015284
Maly1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog61% won 41 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back41% 14 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back22% 4 of 18
Simek1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite46% won 6 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMaly0wins
AwaySimek1wins
Simek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMalySimekM − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match36.039.0−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMalySimekBasisWin rate · lifetime241 / 440 vs 71 / 14554.8%49%241 / 440 vs 71 / 145Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.939.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SimekMaly 1.91/Simek 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Simek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Simek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 25 · 20:00P. Maly—1111591J. Simek—41311113
P. Maly10
LSep 5 · 12:19V. Lopata1.67101111113P. Maly2.10126851LSep 5 · 11:15P. Maly1.6112111171V. Herrmann2.2014138103WSep 5 · 10:15P. Maly2.00119713113V. Lopata1.73511111142LSep 5 · 09:15P. Maly2.25124871L. Kolman1.57101111113LSep 2 · 20:34P. Maly1.91613631J. Jnr1.80111111113LSep 2 · 20:00M. Hajek1.57111112113P. Maly2.25781491LSep 2 · 19:00R. Merkl1.911111113P. Maly1.808960LSep 2 · 17:30J. Jnr1.83111111113P. Maly1.83741391LSep 1 · 20:18T. Hucko1.5711101210113P. Maly2.25912101262LSep 1 · 19:15P. Maly2.388990T. Hucko1.531111113
J. Simek10
WSep 4 · 16:59J. Simek1.73111172O. Horak2.0078111LSep 4 · 15:45J. Simek1.8312511582M. Bruk1.831011511113WSep 4 · 14:15P. Provaznik2.0011761172J. Simek1.73711117113WSep 4 · 13:45O. Horak1.83971191J. Simek1.8311119113WSep 3 · 16:34J. Simek1.4411711113T. Hybl2.63611751WSep 3 · 15:30T. Hybl1.7311611672J. Simek2.00511811113LSep 3 · 15:00J. Simek2.638990D. Marasek1.441111113LSep 3 · 14:00J. Simek2.755121171P. Semrad1.4011147113WAug 25 · 20:00J. Simek1.8341311113P. Maly1.831111591LAug 25 · 18:30P. Hala2.001111113J. Simek1.737970
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