TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13008532
Played Aug 25Finished
Pavel Hala
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119117––––
Jakub Simek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:45 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timePavel Hala to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Hala above · Jakub Simek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 56 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Pavel Hala at 54.3%
56 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Hala 6–13 Jakub Simek Pavel Hala has won 6 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:45What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Simek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-13 in 19
Simek
Wrong
gap of 7 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hala 1627 vs Simek 1483
Hala
Correct
both rated, 144 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hala 60% vs Simek 0%
Hala
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hala 50% vs Simek 20%
Hala
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hala +1 · Simek -5
Simek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hala)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Simek form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHala 2.00 / Simek 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hala)+8.0pp
Setka Cup · #13008532
Hala2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 45 of 96
Down 0–1, comes back23% 10 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Simek1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite46% won 6 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHala2wins
AwaySimek8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSimek leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHala33.3%2 of 6
AwaySimek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hala6Simek4n = 10Hala took 6 of 10
S2Hala5Simek5n = 10split evenly
S3Hala4Simek6n = 10Simek took 6 of 10
S4Hala3Simek4n = 7Simek took 4 of 7
S5Hala0Simek5n = 5Simek took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHalaSimekH − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.739.9−1.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHalaSimekBasisWin rate · lifetime311 / 616 vs 70 / 14350.5%49%311 / 616 vs 70 / 143Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HalaHala 2.00/Simek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.3%
Hala · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LDec 16 · 13:55P. Hala—1113111182J. Simek—215137113
LDec 16 · 10:45P. Hala—71171172J. Simek—115119113
LDec 10 · 18:45P. Hala—6890J. Simek—1111113
LNov 12 · 15:00P. Hala—91111111J. Simek—11138133
LOct 24 · 13:45P. Hala—1158101J. Simek—31111123
WSep 20 · 08:45P. Hala—1111113J. Simek—5770
LSep 20 · 05:45P. Hala—11113872J. Simek—751111113
LSep 3 · 14:00P. Hala—11651162J. Simek—511118113
WJul 3 · 17:05P. Hala—1212113J. Simek—101090
LJul 3 · 13:45P. Hala—511117102J. Simek—119711123
P. Hala10
WSep 6 · 09:04M. Hajek1.83911861P. Hala1.8311611113LSep 6 · 08:00P. Hala2.00910100M. Hajek1.731112123WSep 6 · 06:30R. Merkl2.10231111102P. Hala1.67111177123LSep 6 · 06:00P. Orlowski2.00131110163P. Hala1.7311712141WSep 4 · 21:03P. Hala2.1011128113P. Rucky1.675101161LSep 4 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.91115179113P. Hala1.80311151162LSep 4 · 19:00P. Orlowski1.91119211123P. Hala1.80811118102LSep 4 · 17:30P. Rucky1.611513118113P. Hala2.20131561192WSep 2 · 16:50L. Kolman1.78111011752P. Hala1.92612611113LSep 2 · 15:45P. Hala1.919113141L. Kolman1.8011911163
J. Simek10
WSep 4 · 16:59J. Simek1.73111172O. Horak2.0078111LSep 4 · 15:45J. Simek1.8312511582M. Bruk1.831011511113WSep 4 · 14:15P. Provaznik2.0011761172J. Simek1.73711117113WSep 4 · 13:45O. Horak1.83971191J. Simek1.8311119113WSep 3 · 16:34J. Simek1.4411711113T. Hybl2.63611751WSep 3 · 15:30T. Hybl1.7311611672J. Simek2.00511811113LSep 3 · 15:00J. Simek2.638990D. Marasek1.441111113LSep 3 · 14:00J. Simek2.755121171P. Semrad1.4011147113WAug 25 · 20:58P. Maly1.91118551J. Simek1.8071111113WAug 25 · 20:00J. Simek1.8341311113P. Maly1.831111591
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