TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13008536
Played Aug 25Finished
Jakub Simek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
4111311115119––
Petr Maly
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:45 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timePetr Maly to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Simek above · Petr Maly below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 75 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Petr Maly at 57.0%
75 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:45What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Maly
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Simek 1475 vs Maly 1638
Maly
Wrong
both rated, 164 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Simek 0% vs Maly 60%
Maly
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Simek 10% vs Maly 70%
Maly
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Simek -5 · Maly +1
Simek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Maly) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Simek form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSimek 1.83 / Maly 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Maly)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13008536
Simek1.83
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Maly1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSimekMalyBasisWin rate · lifetime70 / 144 vs 241 / 43948.6%54.9%70 / 144 vs 241 / 439Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.039.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MalySimek 1.83/Maly 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Maly · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Simek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Simek10
WSep 4 · 16:59J. Simek1.73111172O. Horak2.0078111LSep 4 · 15:45J. Simek1.8312511582M. Bruk1.831011511113WSep 4 · 14:15P. Provaznik2.0011761172J. Simek1.73711117113WSep 4 · 13:45O. Horak1.83971191J. Simek1.8311119113WSep 3 · 16:34J. Simek1.4411711113T. Hybl2.63611751WSep 3 · 15:30T. Hybl1.7311611672J. Simek2.00511811113LSep 3 · 15:00J. Simek2.638990D. Marasek1.441111113LSep 3 · 14:00J. Simek2.755121171P. Semrad1.4011147113WAug 25 · 20:58P. Maly1.91118551J. Simek1.8071111113LAug 25 · 18:30P. Hala2.001111113J. Simek1.737970
P. Maly10
LSep 5 · 12:19V. Lopata1.67101111113P. Maly2.10126851LSep 5 · 11:15P. Maly1.6112111171V. Herrmann2.2014138103WSep 5 · 10:15P. Maly2.00119713113V. Lopata1.73511111142LSep 5 · 09:15P. Maly2.25124871L. Kolman1.57101111113LSep 2 · 20:34P. Maly1.91613631J. Jnr1.80111111113LSep 2 · 20:00M. Hajek1.57111112113P. Maly2.25781491LSep 2 · 19:00R. Merkl1.911111113P. Maly1.808960LSep 2 · 17:30J. Jnr1.83111111113P. Maly1.83741391LSep 1 · 20:18T. Hucko1.5711101210113P. Maly2.25912101262LAug 25 · 20:58P. Maly1.91118551J. Simek1.8071111113
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