TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073912
Played Sep 4Finished
Ondrej Horak
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911711119911––
Jakub Simek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:52 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeOndrej Horak to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOndrej Horak above · Jakub Simek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 78 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Ondrej Horak at 57.7%
78 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Horak 1–0 Jakub Simek Jakub Simek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:52What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Simek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Horak 1521 vs Simek 1522
Simek
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Horak 60% vs Simek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Horak 30% vs Simek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Horak +2 · Simek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Simek) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHorak 1.83 / Simek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Simek)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13073912
Horak1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Simek1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHorak1wins
AwaySimek0wins
Horak leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHorakSimekH − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.016.0+17.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHorakSimekBasisWin rate · lifetime93 / 192 vs 74 / 15048.4%49.3%93 / 192 vs 74 / 150Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SimekHorak 1.83/Simek 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Simek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Simek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 4 · 14:15O. Horak—1111113J. Simek—3580
O. Horak10
LSep 4 · 16:59J. Simek1.73111172O. Horak2.0078111WSep 4 · 15:15P. Provaznik1.91118111452O. Horak1.809111312113WSep 4 · 14:45O. Horak1.80111012113M. Bruk1.916121081WAug 27 · 16:54Z. Kuksa1.91149931O. Horak1.80121111113WAug 27 · 15:15T. Hanke2.101081361O. Horak1.67121111113LAug 27 · 14:45O. Horak1.73111191262Z. Kuksa2.001371110113WAug 27 · 13:45O. Horak1.91111197113M. Soukup1.8079111172LAug 21 · 16:14D. Marasek1.25111210113O. Horak3.752101231LAug 21 · 15:15P. Semrad1.401111113O. Horak2.757380LAug 21 · 14:45O. Horak2.75119671T. Hybl1.4051111113
J. Simek10
WSep 4 · 16:59J. Simek1.73111172O. Horak2.0078111LSep 4 · 15:45J. Simek1.8312511582M. Bruk1.831011511113WSep 4 · 14:15P. Provaznik2.0011761172J. Simek1.73711117113WSep 3 · 16:34J. Simek1.4411711113T. Hybl2.63611751WSep 3 · 15:30T. Hybl1.7311611672J. Simek2.00511811113LSep 3 · 15:00J. Simek2.638990D. Marasek1.441111113LSep 3 · 14:00J. Simek2.755121171P. Semrad1.4011147113WAug 25 · 20:58P. Maly1.91118551J. Simek1.8071111113WAug 25 · 20:00J. Simek1.8341311113P. Maly1.831111591LAug 25 · 18:30P. Hala2.001111113J. Simek1.737970
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