TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022620
Played Aug 27Finished
Tomas Hanke
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10128111311611––
Ondrej Horak
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:56 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeOndrej Horak to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Hanke above · Ondrej Horak below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 82 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Ondrej Horak at 56.2%
82 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Hanke 6–11 Ondrej Horak Tomas Hanke has won 6 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:56What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Horak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-11 in 17
Horak
Correct
gap of 5 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hanke 1530 vs Horak 1506
Hanke
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hanke 40% vs Horak 20%
Hanke
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hanke 50% vs Horak 30%
Hanke
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hanke -1 · Horak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Horak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Horak form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHanke 2.10 / Horak 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Horak)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13022620
Hanke2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 33 of 70
Down 0–1, comes back33% 9 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back14% 2 of 14
Horak1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 16 of 27
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it58% 7 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHanke3wins
AwayHorak7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHorak leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHanke50%3 of 6
AwayHorak100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hanke6Horak4n = 10Hanke took 6 of 10
S2Hanke3Horak7n = 10Horak took 7 of 10
S3Hanke6Horak4n = 10Hanke took 6 of 10
S4Hanke3Horak6n = 9Horak took 6 of 9
S5Hanke1Horak3n = 4Horak took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHankeHorakHanke − HorakBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.241.1−1.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHankeHorakBasisWin rate · lifetime284 / 523 vs 92 / 19354.3%47.7%284 / 523 vs 92 / 193Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.837.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorakHanke 2.10/Horak 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Horak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Horak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 28 · 15:00T. Hanke—118711102O. Horak—811119123
LJul 14 · 16:50T. Hanke—11911982O. Horak—811411113
LJul 14 · 14:45T. Hanke—1361131O. Horak—15118113
WJun 30 · 15:30T. Hanke—116114113O. Horak—81191192
LJun 25 · 13:45T. Hanke—5118111O. Horak—11911133
LApr 17 · 13:45T. Hanke—111281232O. Horak—2141110113
WOct 2 · 16:10T. Hanke—1111113O. Horak—7790
WOct 2 · 15:15T. Hanke—111111113O. Horak—491331
LJul 17 · 14:15T. Hanke—761151O. Horak—11117113
LJun 17 · 16:15T. Hanke—961181O. Horak—11115113
T. Hanke10
LSep 6 · 08:58D. Brichacek1.401611911133T. Hanke2.75187116112WSep 6 · 07:15M. Taranko1.917860T. Hanke1.801111113LSep 6 · 06:45T. Hanke2.7511711462D. Brichacek1.40711611113LSep 6 · 05:45T. Hanke2.001191061L. Stoces1.7391112113LSep 5 · 20:30J. Juppa2.2011156203T. Hanke1.6171311181WSep 5 · 19:30T. Hanke1.73117116113O. Chadima2.0071181172LSep 5 · 18:30T. Hanke2.5071190D. Brichacek1.501113113LSep 5 · 17:30T. Hanke1.6181181162J. Juppa2.20116117113LAug 28 · 20:28D. Brichacek1.671111113T. Hanke2.105440LAug 28 · 19:30T. Hanke2.10611512122D. Brichacek1.671161110143
O. Horak10
LSep 4 · 16:59J. Simek1.73111172O. Horak2.0078111WSep 4 · 15:15P. Provaznik1.91118111452O. Horak1.809111312113WSep 4 · 14:45O. Horak1.80111012113M. Bruk1.916121081LSep 4 · 13:45O. Horak1.83971191J. Simek1.8311119113WAug 27 · 16:54Z. Kuksa1.91149931O. Horak1.80121111113LAug 27 · 14:45O. Horak1.73111191262Z. Kuksa2.001371110113WAug 27 · 13:45O. Horak1.91111197113M. Soukup1.8079111172LAug 21 · 16:14D. Marasek1.25111210113O. Horak3.752101231LAug 21 · 15:15P. Semrad1.401111113O. Horak2.757380LAug 21 · 14:45O. Horak2.75119671T. Hybl1.4051111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.