TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12470955
Played Aug 21Finished
Dominik Marasek
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11212101012113––
Ondrej Horak
Away
3.75
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
How it is goingDominik Marasek above · Ondrej Horak below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 71 set 4, 11-3
71 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Marasek 3–0 Ondrej Horak Ondrej Horak has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Marasek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Horak form (0%) is below what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMarasek 1.25 / Horak 3.75
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Marasek)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12470955
Marasek1.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 26 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it73% 19 of 26
Horak3.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog48% won 31 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back33% 14 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMarasek3wins
AwayHorak0wins
Marasek leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMarasek100%3 of 3
AwayHorakn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Marasek3Horak0n = 3Marasek took 3 of 3
S2Marasek3Horak0n = 3Marasek took 3 of 3
S3Marasek3Horak0n = 3Marasek took 3 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home3100%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricMarasekHorakM − HBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match33.019.0+14.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMarasekHorakBasisWin rate · lifetime115 / 241 vs 92 / 19247.7%47.9%115 / 241 vs 92 / 192Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.537.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarasekMarasek 1.25/Horak 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75%
Marasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Marasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 21 · 13:45D. Marasek—1111113O. Horak—6770
WAug 12 · 16:14D. Marasek—1111113O. Horak—5880
WAug 12 · 15:15D. Marasek—1111113O. Horak—8440
D. Marasek10
WSep 3 · 17:03D. Marasek2.38141111113P. Semrad1.53165991LSep 3 · 16:00P. Semrad1.5011116113D. Marasek2.50561171WSep 3 · 15:00J. Simek2.638990D. Marasek1.441111113WSep 3 · 13:30T. Hybl2.2597100D. Marasek1.571111123WSep 1 · 16:49D. Marasek1.611111113L. Kolman2.209540WSep 1 · 15:45D. Marasek1.8311207113M. Svitac1.836181171WSep 1 · 14:15L. Kolman1.836980D. Marasek1.831111113WSep 1 · 13:45P. Semrad1.441213161342D. Marasek2.6310151811113WAug 24 · 17:03R. Merkl2.50661181D. Marasek1.5011118113WAug 24 · 15:30D. Marasek1.61111013113Z. Kuksa2.209121131
O. Horak10
LSep 4 · 16:59J. Simek1.73111172O. Horak2.0078111WSep 4 · 15:15P. Provaznik1.91118111452O. Horak1.809111312113WSep 4 · 14:45O. Horak1.80111012113M. Bruk1.916121081LSep 4 · 13:45O. Horak1.83971191J. Simek1.8311119113WAug 27 · 16:54Z. Kuksa1.91149931O. Horak1.80121111113WAug 27 · 15:15T. Hanke2.101081361O. Horak1.67121111113LAug 27 · 14:45O. Horak1.73111191262Z. Kuksa2.001371110113WAug 27 · 13:45O. Horak1.91111197113M. Soukup1.8079111172LAug 21 · 15:15P. Semrad1.401111113O. Horak2.757380LAug 21 · 14:45O. Horak2.75119671T. Hybl1.4051111113
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