TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13095030
Played Sep 8Finished
Jakub Simek
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711117811511––
Jachym Juppa
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:42 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeJakub Simek to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Simek above · Jachym Juppa below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 71 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Jakub Simek at 62.5%
71 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Simek 3–0 Jachym Juppa Jachym Juppa has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:42What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Simek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Simek
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Simek 1565 vs Juppa 1495
Simek
Wrong
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Simek 80% vs Juppa 40%
Simek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Simek 70% vs Juppa 50%
Simek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Simek +3 · Juppa -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Simek) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Simek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSimek 1.50 / Juppa 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Simek)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13095030
Simek1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite41% won 7 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it57% 4 of 7
Juppa2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog49% won 101 of 206
Down 0–1, comes back29% 33 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSimek3wins
AwayJuppa0wins
Simek leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Simek2Juppa1n = 3Simek took 2 of 3
S2Simek3Juppa0n = 3Simek took 3 of 3
S3Simek2Juppa1n = 3Simek took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSimekJuppaS − JBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match40.029.3+10.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSimekJuppaBasisWin rate · lifetime79 / 156 vs 448 / 85950.6%52.2%79 / 156 vs 448 / 859Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SimekSimek 1.50/Juppa 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.3%
Simek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Juppa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 5 · 12:28J. Simek—11119113J. Juppa—951161
WAug 5 · 11:00J. Simek—1117113J. Juppa—91590
WFeb 20 · 16:45J. Simek—61111113J. Juppa—119221
J. Simek10
WSep 8 · 18:15P. Maly2.251211512102J. Simek1.571431110123WSep 8 · 17:45R. Merkl2.38811571J. Simek1.5311811113WSep 4 · 16:59J. Simek1.73111172O. Horak2.0078111LSep 4 · 15:45J. Simek1.8312511582M. Bruk1.831011511113WSep 4 · 14:15P. Provaznik2.0011761172J. Simek1.73711117113WSep 4 · 13:45O. Horak1.83971191J. Simek1.8311119113WSep 3 · 16:34J. Simek1.4411711113T. Hybl2.63611751WSep 3 · 15:30T. Hybl1.7311611672J. Simek2.00511811113LSep 3 · 15:00J. Simek2.638990D. Marasek1.441111113LSep 3 · 14:00J. Simek2.755121171P. Semrad1.4011147113
J. Juppa10
WSep 8 · 20:14J. Juppa1.80114911113R. Merkl1.9181111882LSep 8 · 18:45R. Merkl1.9111118113J. Juppa1.80891181LSep 8 · 17:15P. Maly1.8391111113J. Juppa1.83114381LSep 6 · 13:00J. Juppa1.50911791V. Herrmann2.5011811113WSep 6 · 12:00J. Juppa1.571111113T. Bertho2.257990WSep 6 · 10:30V. Herrmann1.80891181J. Juppa1.9111113113WSep 6 · 10:00S. Kalensky2.25891111122J. Juppa1.57111158143WSep 5 · 20:30J. Juppa2.2011156203T. Hanke1.6171311181LSep 5 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.501111113J. Juppa2.505250LSep 5 · 19:00O. Chadima2.00912118113J. Juppa1.73111021172
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