TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13100779
Played Sep 8Finished
Jachym Juppa
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118411911118118
Roman Merkl
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingJachym Juppa above · Roman Merkl below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 92 set 5, 11-8
92 points played in total.
H2H Jachym Juppa 16–20 Roman Merkl Jachym Juppa has won 16 of their 36 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Merkl beat Juppa 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Merkl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Merkl form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJuppa 1.80 / Merkl 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Merkl)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13100779
Juppa1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 82 of 152
Up 2–0, closes it94% 47 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it69% 67 of 97
Merkl1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 96 of 196
Down 0–1, comes back37% 44 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back18% 10 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJuppa5wins
AwayMerkl5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJuppa66.7%2 of 3
AwayMerkl57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Juppa3Merkl7n = 10Merkl took 7 of 10
S2Juppa7Merkl3n = 10Juppa took 7 of 10
S3Juppa6Merkl4n = 10Juppa took 6 of 10
S4Juppa3Merkl6n = 9Merkl took 6 of 9
S5Juppa2Merkl1n = 3Juppa took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJuppaMerklJ − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.740.3+0.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJuppaMerklBasisWin rate · lifetime449 / 860 vs 273 / 56252.2%48.6%449 / 860 vs 273 / 562Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MerklJuppa 1.80/Merkl 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Merkl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Juppa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 18:45J. Juppa—891181R. Merkl—11118113
LAug 15 · 08:00J. Juppa—881191R. Merkl—11118113
WJul 27 · 13:15J. Juppa—15111211113R. Merkl—176101362
WJul 17 · 06:00J. Juppa—711119113R. Merkl—11671172
WJul 9 · 20:49J. Juppa—41111113R. Merkl—115871
LJul 9 · 17:45J. Juppa—811911102R. Merkl—119119123
WJul 7 · 20:23J. Juppa—1412113R. Merkl—121080
LJul 7 · 17:45J. Juppa—811571R. Merkl—11711113
WJun 20 · 14:45J. Juppa—11115123R. Merkl—5811101
LJun 10 · 16:59J. Juppa—1111381R. Merkl—51311113
J. Juppa10
WSep 8 · 19:45J. Simek1.50711851J. Juppa2.5011711113LSep 8 · 18:45R. Merkl1.9111118113J. Juppa1.80891181LSep 8 · 17:15P. Maly1.8391111113J. Juppa1.83114381LSep 6 · 13:00J. Juppa1.50911791V. Herrmann2.5011811113WSep 6 · 12:00J. Juppa1.571111113T. Bertho2.257990WSep 6 · 10:30V. Herrmann1.80891181J. Juppa1.9111113113WSep 6 · 10:00S. Kalensky2.25891111122J. Juppa1.57111158143WSep 5 · 20:30J. Juppa2.2011156203T. Hanke1.6171311181LSep 5 · 20:00D. Brichacek1.501111113J. Juppa2.505250LSep 5 · 19:00O. Chadima2.00912118113J. Juppa1.73111021172
R. Merkl10
LSep 8 · 19:15P. Maly2.001111113R. Merkl1.739770WSep 8 · 18:45R. Merkl1.9111118113J. Juppa1.80891181LSep 8 · 17:45R. Merkl2.38811571J. Simek1.5311811113LSep 6 · 08:34P. Orlowski1.73111114133R. Merkl2.009416111WSep 6 · 07:30R. Merkl1.9171111113P. Orlowski1.80119891LSep 6 · 06:30R. Merkl2.10231111102P. Hala1.67111177123WSep 6 · 05:30R. Merkl2.3814711123M. Hajek1.5312117101LSep 2 · 21:04M. Hajek1.611111133R. Merkl2.2026110WSep 2 · 19:30J. Jnr1.8039100R. Merkl1.911111123WSep 2 · 19:00R. Merkl1.911111113P. Maly1.808960
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