TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122088
Played Sep 13Finished
Tomas Hybl
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
3111178111012––
David Brichacek
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Hybl to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Hybl above · David Brichacek below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 73 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Tomas Hybl at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Hybl 4–2 David Brichacek David Brichacek has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:57What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Hybl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Hybl
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hybl 1568 vs Brichacek 1702
Brichacek
Correct
both rated, 134 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hybl 20% vs Brichacek 80%
Brichacek
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hybl 30% vs Brichacek 80%
Brichacek
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hybl -2 · Brichacek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hybl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brichacek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHybl 1.61 / Brichacek 2.20
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hybl)-3.7pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13122088
Hybl1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite71% won 31 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it86% 18 of 21
Brichacek2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 48 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back41% 23 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back15% 4 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeHybl4wins
AwayBrichacek2wins
2 of 6 to a deciderHybl leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHybln = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBrichacek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hybl2Brichacek4n = 6Brichacek took 4 of 6
S2Hybl2Brichacek4n = 6Brichacek took 4 of 6
S3Hybl4Brichacek2n = 6Hybl took 4 of 6
S4Hybl3Brichacek1n = 4Hybl took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricHyblBrichacekH − BBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match37.836.5+1.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHyblBrichacekBasisWin rate · lifetime82 / 162 vs 171 / 32050.6%53.4%82 / 162 vs 171 / 320Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HyblHybl 1.61/Brichacek 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hybl · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Brichacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 29 · 07:30T. Hybl345118101D. Brichacek4311911123
WAug 15 · 18:15T. Hybl511071111123D. Brichacek42121118102
LJun 14 · 13:04T. Hybl2571170D. Brichacek351113113
WJun 14 · 12:00T. Hybl4211611143D. Brichacek323116121
WMay 16 · 13:04T. Hybl40521111113D. Brichacek4211117852
WMay 16 · 09:30T. Hybl351113113D. Brichacek2561180
T. Hybl10
LSep 3 · 16:34J. Simek1.4411711113T. Hybl2.63611751LSep 3 · 15:30T. Hybl1.7311611672J. Simek2.00511811113WSep 3 · 14:30T. Hybl1.8081111133P. Semrad1.911157111LSep 3 · 13:30T. Hybl2.2597100D. Marasek1.571111123LAug 29 · 08:29R. Merkl2.63118117113T. Hybl1.4481171162LAug 29 · 07:30D. Brichacek2.5011911123T. Hybl1.505118101WAug 29 · 07:00T. Hybl1.50111111113R. Merkl2.50781371LAug 29 · 06:00T. Hybl2.257560M. Skyba1.571111113LAug 25 · 12:18Z. Vasatko1.7371113113T. Hybl2.001161191WAug 25 · 11:15T. Hucko1.8376100T. Hybl1.831111123
D. Brichacek10
WSep 13 · 14:15P. Maly2.0011117572D. Brichacek1.73591111113WSep 12 · 08:54D. Brichacek1.4081111113M. Taranko2.75119961LSep 12 · 07:45D. Brichacek1.57915110T. Kanka2.251117133WSep 12 · 06:15M. Taranko2.633870D. Brichacek1.441111113WSep 12 · 05:45Z. Kuksa2.3812714232D. Brichacek1.5310111211113WSep 7 · 20:59D. Brichacek2.101111123P. Orlowski1.6775100WSep 7 · 20:00S. Kalensky3.50512741D. Brichacek1.28111011113WSep 7 · 19:00A. Pavlik1.80118691D. Brichacek1.9171111113LSep 7 · 17:30P. Orlowski1.83111110113D. Brichacek1.83571261WAug 29 · 07:30D. Brichacek2.5011911123T. Hybl1.505118101
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