TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13119292
Played Sep 12Finished
David Brichacek
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811119119116––
Mikhail Taranko
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingDavid Brichacek above · Mikhail Taranko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 76 set 4, 11-6
76 points played in total.
H2H David Brichacek 4–3 Mikhail Taranko Mikhail Taranko has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Brichacek beat Taranko 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Brichacek)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrichacek 1.40 / Taranko 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 31%
Edge (Brichacek)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13119292
Brichacek1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 110 of 191
Up 2–0, closes it94% 59 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it78% 79 of 102
Taranko2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog46% won 22 of 48
Down 0–1, comes back37% 11 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeBrichacek4wins
AwayTaranko3wins
Brichacek leads 4–3.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrichacek100%4 of 4
AwayTaranko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brichacek4Taranko3n = 7Brichacek took 4 of 7
S2Brichacek4Taranko3n = 7Brichacek took 4 of 7
S3Brichacek5Taranko2n = 7Brichacek took 5 of 7
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home457%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricBrichacekTarankoB − TBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match31.027.7+3.3per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrichacekTarankoBasisWin rate · lifetime170 / 319 vs 75 / 15553.3%48.4%170 / 319 vs 75 / 155Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrichacekBrichacek 1.40/Taranko 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.5%
Brichacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Brichacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 12 · 06:15D. Brichacek—1111113M. Taranko—3870
WSep 6 · 05:15D. Brichacek—1111113M. Taranko—4960
WJun 20 · 05:45D. Brichacek—1112113M. Taranko—61040
WJun 6 · 08:49D. Brichacek—1111163M. Taranko—97140
LJun 6 · 05:15D. Brichacek—71090M. Taranko—1112113
LMay 31 · 05:45D. Brichacek—891171M. Taranko—11117113
LMay 17 · 05:45D. Brichacek—6930M. Taranko—1111113
D. Brichacek10
LSep 12 · 07:45D. Brichacek1.57915110T. Kanka2.251117133WSep 12 · 06:15M. Taranko2.633870D. Brichacek1.441111113WSep 12 · 05:45Z. Kuksa2.3812714232D. Brichacek1.5310111211113WSep 7 · 20:59D. Brichacek2.101111123P. Orlowski1.6775100WSep 7 · 20:00S. Kalensky3.50512741D. Brichacek1.28111011113WSep 7 · 19:00A. Pavlik1.80118691D. Brichacek1.9171111113LSep 7 · 17:30P. Orlowski1.83111110113D. Brichacek1.83571261WSep 6 · 08:58D. Brichacek1.401611911133T. Hanke2.75187116112WSep 6 · 07:45L. Stoces2.3886121122D. Brichacek1.531111106113WSep 6 · 06:45T. Hanke2.7511711462D. Brichacek1.40711611113
M. Taranko10
WSep 12 · 07:15M. Taranko1.73711127113Z. Kuksa2.00116101172LSep 12 · 06:15M. Taranko2.633870D. Brichacek1.441111113WSep 12 · 05:15M. Taranko2.6351115113T. Kanka1.441141391LSep 6 · 08:29L. Stoces1.221112113M. Taranko4.0051070LSep 6 · 07:15M. Taranko1.917860T. Hanke1.801111113WSep 6 · 06:15M. Taranko2.504111410143L. Stoces1.501191212122LSep 6 · 05:15M. Taranko2.104960D. Brichacek1.671111113LAug 29 · 08:23L. Hendrych2.101611911113M. Taranko1.67146111392WAug 29 · 07:15M. Taranko1.80121299113L. Hendrych1.911010111162WAug 29 · 06:15M. Taranko1.53311114113F. Kubos2.3811771172
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