TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12433952
Played Aug 14Finished
Petr Provaznik
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411611611––––
Tomas Hrstka
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingPetr Provaznik above · Tomas Hrstka below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 49 set 3, 6-11
49 points played in total.
H2H Petr Provaznik 12–7 Tomas Hrstka Tomas Hrstka has won 7 of their 19 meetings.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Provaznik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrstka form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsProvaznik 1.73 / Hrstka 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Provaznik)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12433952
Provaznik1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 56 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it86% 30 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it71% 39 of 55
Hrstka2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 12 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back25% 5 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeProvaznik6wins
AwayHrstka4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderProvaznik leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeProvaznik100%5 of 5
AwayHrstka80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Provaznik5Hrstka5n = 10split evenly
S2Provaznik6Hrstka4n = 10Provaznik took 6 of 10
S3Provaznik4Hrstka6n = 10Hrstka took 6 of 10
S4Provaznik5Hrstka2n = 7Provaznik took 5 of 7
S5Provaznik2Hrstka2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricProvaznikHrstkaP − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.938.2+0.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricProvaznikHrstkaBasisWin rate · lifetime230 / 481 vs 28 / 6747.8%41.8%230 / 481 vs 28 / 67Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ProvaznikProvaznik 1.73/Hrstka 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.7%
Provaznik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hrstka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 14 · 11:30P. Provaznik4011117113T. Hrstka33981151
LAug 10 · 10:30P. Provaznik2912890T. Hrstka361411113
WOct 21 · 12:29P. Provaznik54119117163T. Hrstka49711611142
WOct 21 · 09:30P. Provaznik47117411143T. Hrstka46411118122
WSep 4 · 08:34P. Provaznik4181111113T. Hrstka31116861
WSep 4 · 05:30P. Provaznik43111110113T. Hrstka33751291
LAug 21 · 12:37P. Provaznik4391111932T. Hrstka48118711113
WAug 21 · 09:30P. Provaznik331111113T. Hrstka237880
LJun 6 · 08:30P. Provaznik2031070T. Hrstka341112113
LJun 6 · 05:30P. Provaznik3921291152T. Hrstka491110116113
P. Provaznik10
WSep 10 · 20:20P. Provaznik—7121111113O. Chadima—11148892WSep 10 · 19:15O. Chadima2.50126361P. Provaznik1.50101111113LSep 10 · 18:45P. Provaznik1.407511101Z. Kuksa2.7511119102LSep 10 · 17:45P. Provaznik1.831011961V. Herrmann1.8312911113WSep 9 · 17:03P. Hala1.5071131192P. Provaznik2.50119118113WSep 9 · 15:30P. Provaznik2.2513411113T. Hucko1.571111771LSep 9 · 14:30P. Provaznik2.503111051P. Hala1.5011512113WSep 9 · 13:30P. Provaznik2.25912611113L. Kolman1.57111011732WSep 4 · 16:34M. Bruk1.6551191112P. Provaznik2.10113118113LSep 4 · 15:15P. Provaznik1.91118111452O. Horak1.809111312113
T. Hrstka10
WSep 16 · 10:45Z. Vasatko1.336111421T. Hrstka3.2511616113WSep 16 · 09:15L. Kolman1.50111061192T. Hrstka2.50512117113LAug 14 · 11:30T. Hrstka1.91981151P. Provaznik1.8011117113LAug 14 · 10:30T. Hrstka2.632111341M. Hajek1.44111311113LAug 14 · 09:30T. Hrstka2.103780L. Kolman1.671111113LAug 10 · 13:13T. Hrstka2.6381161172M. Svitac1.44119116113WAug 10 · 12:00T. Hrstka1.734111011113Z. Kuksa2.0011812762WAug 10 · 10:30P. Provaznik1.7312890T. Hrstka2.001411113LAug 10 · 10:00M. Svitac1.501111113T. Hrstka2.506890WJun 10 · 12:19F. Kubos3.0071111992T. Hrstka1.36117811113
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