TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12396594
Played Aug 10Finished
Tomas Hrstka
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811119611116711
Matej Svitac
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingTomas Hrstka above · Matej Svitac below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 91 set 5, 7-11
91 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Hrstka 3–4 Matej Svitac Tomas Hrstka has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Svitac)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svitac form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrstka 2.63 / Svitac 1.44
Signal prob.35% / 66%
Edge (Svitac)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12396594
Hrstka2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 11 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back28% 5 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Svitac1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite55% won 56 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it88% 28 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it74% 43 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeHrstka3wins
AwaySvitac4wins
1 of 7 to a deciderSvitac leads 4–3, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrstka66.7%2 of 3
AwaySvitac75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrstka3Svitac4n = 7Svitac took 4 of 7
S2Hrstka5Svitac2n = 7Hrstka took 5 of 7
S3Hrstka2Svitac5n = 7Svitac took 5 of 7
S4Hrstka2Svitac2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away229%
These 7 meetings
MetricHrstkaSvitacH − SBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match33.133.9−0.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrstkaSvitacBasisWin rate · lifetime28 / 63 vs 201 / 37744.4%53.3%28 / 63 vs 201 / 377Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvitacHrstka 2.63/Svitac 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.5%
Svitac · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Svitac won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 10 · 10:00T. Hrstka236890M. Svitac331111113
LJun 10 · 10:15T. Hrstka4111116942M. Svitac48871111113
WJun 1 · 09:30T. Hrstka4311119123M. Svitac357711101
LMay 19 · 09:30T. Hrstka2467110M. Svitac351111133
WMay 14 · 11:15T. Hrstka3851111113M. Svitac27116371
LJun 26 · 11:45T. Hrstka30711661M. Svitac3711511103
WJan 13 · 12:45T. Hrstka331111113M. Svitac224990
T. Hrstka10
WSep 16 · 10:45Z. Vasatko1.336111421T. Hrstka3.2511616113WSep 16 · 09:15L. Kolman1.50111061192T. Hrstka2.50512117113WAug 14 · 12:38P. Provaznik1.734660T. Hrstka2.001111113LAug 14 · 11:30T. Hrstka1.91981151P. Provaznik1.8011117113LAug 14 · 10:30T. Hrstka2.632111341M. Hajek1.44111311113LAug 14 · 09:30T. Hrstka2.103780L. Kolman1.671111113WAug 10 · 12:00T. Hrstka1.734111011113Z. Kuksa2.0011812762WAug 10 · 10:30P. Provaznik1.7312890T. Hrstka2.001411113LAug 10 · 10:00M. Svitac1.501111113T. Hrstka2.506890WJun 10 · 12:19F. Kubos3.0071111992T. Hrstka1.36117811113
M. Svitac10
LSep 14 · 12:53M. Svitac1.83911491L. Smazik1.8311811113WSep 14 · 11:45L. Smazik1.8311351152M. Svitac1.83511119113LSep 14 · 10:45M. Hajek1.6111149113M. Svitac2.205121141LSep 14 · 09:15Z. Vasatko1.731111113M. Svitac2.007650LSep 10 · 12:48L. Kolman2.2011117113M. Svitac1.61761161WSep 10 · 11:15M. Svitac2.1013119113L. Smazik1.671181181WSep 10 · 10:15M. Svitac2.25811911113M. Hajek1.5711911832WSep 10 · 09:15M. Svitac1.731111113L. Kolman2.009540WSep 8 · 12:43Z. Vasatko1.7395121162M. Svitac2.001111108113WAug 10 · 10:00M. Svitac1.501111113T. Hrstka2.506890
Upcoming Matches
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