TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13105620
Played Sep 10Finished
Matej Svitac
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811119911118113
Miroslav Hajek
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:01 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Hajek to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMatej Svitac above · Miroslav Hajek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 92 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Miroslav Hajek at 59.3%
92 points played in total.
H2H Matej Svitac 16–28 Miroslav Hajek Matej Svitac has won 16 of their 44 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:01What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Hajek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-28 in 44
Hajek
Wrong
gap of 12 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svitac 1660 vs Hajek 1666
Hajek
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svitac 60% vs Hajek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svitac 40% vs Hajek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svitac +3 · Hajek +1
Svitac
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Hajek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svitac form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvitac 2.25 / Hajek 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Hajek)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13105620
Svitac2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 29 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back28% 9 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 16
Hajek1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 77 of 138
Up 2–0, closes it91% 42 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it78% 61 of 78
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSvitac3wins
AwayHajek7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHajek leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvitac75%3 of 4
AwayHajek100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svitac4Hajek6n = 10Hajek took 6 of 10
S2Svitac4Hajek6n = 10Hajek took 6 of 10
S3Svitac2Hajek8n = 10Hajek took 8 of 10
S4Svitac3Hajek3n = 6split evenly
S5Svitac1Hajek2n = 3Hajek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricSvitacHajekS − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.238.6−6.4per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvitacHajekBasisWin rate · lifetime213 / 390 vs 364 / 67254.6%54.2%213 / 390 vs 364 / 672Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HajekSvitac 2.25/Hajek 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Hajek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Svitac won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 19:45M. Svitac—81112452M. Hajek—1191011113
LSep 4 · 09:45M. Svitac—65111182M. Hajek—111179113
LMay 17 · 09:45M. Svitac—1191291M. Hajek—91114113
WMay 14 · 12:43M. Svitac—11114133M. Hajek—4711111
WMay 14 · 09:45M. Svitac—11116113M. Hajek—781131
LMay 1 · 12:44M. Svitac—5990M. Hajek—1111113
WMay 1 · 09:45M. Svitac—111168113M. Hajek—99111162
LApr 27 · 10:15M. Svitac—7960M. Hajek—1111113
LApr 24 · 11:45M. Svitac—3440M. Hajek—1111113
LApr 5 · 10:45M. Svitac—6760M. Hajek—1111113
M. Svitac10
WSep 8 · 12:43Z. Vasatko1.7395121162M. Svitac2.001111108113WSep 8 · 11:15T. Kanka1.911312491M. Svitac1.80111411113WSep 8 · 10:45M. Svitac1.7381111113L. Kolman2.00119791LSep 8 · 09:45M. Svitac2.00119111052Z. Vasatko1.73311912113LSep 7 · 12:29M. Bruk2.1071111113M. Svitac1.67116541LSep 7 · 11:30M. Svitac1.679121191M. Bruk2.1011148113LSep 7 · 10:30M. Svitac1.9131111692Z. Vasatko1.80119811113LSep 7 · 09:30M. Svitac1.67913111192L. Kolman2.10111595113WSep 6 · 20:23M. Svitac1.731112113A. Pavlik2.0071090LSep 6 · 19:45M. Svitac2.2081112452M. Hajek1.611191011113
M. Hajek10
WSep 10 · 09:45L. Smazik1.53611761M. Hajek2.3811811113LSep 6 · 20:53M. Hajek1.83881171L. Kolman1.8311119113WSep 6 · 19:45M. Svitac2.2081112452M. Hajek1.611191011113LSep 6 · 18:45L. Kolman1.91111193M. Hajek1.809960WSep 6 · 17:15A. Pavlik2.2551490M. Hajek1.571116103LSep 6 · 09:04M. Hajek1.83911861P. Hala1.8311611113WSep 6 · 08:00P. Hala2.00910100M. Hajek1.731112123LSep 6 · 07:00P. Orlowski2.25111111113M. Hajek1.57461371LSep 6 · 05:30R. Merkl2.3814711123M. Hajek1.5312117101WSep 4 · 12:43Z. Vasatko1.8311990M. Hajek1.831311113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.