TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13092643
Played Sep 7Finished
Martin Bruk
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711116115114––
Matej Svitac
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMartin Bruk above · Matej Svitac below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 66 set 4, 11-4
66 points played in total.
H2H Martin Bruk 13–18 Matej Svitac Martin Bruk has won 13 of their 31 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Bruk beat Svitac 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Svitac)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svitac form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBruk 2.10 / Svitac 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Svitac)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13092643
Bruk2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 32 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back24% 10 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Svitac1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 66 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it89% 32 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it79% 51 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBruk5wins
AwaySvitac5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBruk71.4%5 of 7
AwaySvitac100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bruk7Svitac3n = 10Bruk took 7 of 10
S2Bruk5Svitac5n = 10split evenly
S3Bruk4Svitac6n = 10Svitac took 6 of 10
S4Bruk2Svitac7n = 9Svitac took 7 of 9
S5Bruk4Svitac3n = 7Bruk took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrukSvitacB − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match44.942.9+2.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrukSvitacBasisWin rate · lifetime202 / 390 vs 210 / 38551.8%54.6%202 / 390 vs 210 / 385Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvitacBruk 2.10/Svitac 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59%
Svitac · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Bruk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 11:30M. Bruk—11148113M. Svitac—9121191
LJun 16 · 09:30M. Bruk—1110119112M. Svitac—712511133
LJun 12 · 10:00M. Bruk—7840M. Svitac—1111113
WJun 9 · 10:30M. Bruk—127912113M. Svitac—1011111072
WApr 13 · 09:45M. Bruk—1661110113M. Svitac—141151262
WMar 28 · 14:01M. Bruk—111199113M. Svitac—74111142
WMar 28 · 12:00M. Bruk—1111510113M. Svitac—53111262
LFeb 8 · 11:15M. Bruk—131111892M. Svitac—159911103
LFeb 7 · 14:12M. Bruk—981171M. Svitac—11114103
LFeb 7 · 13:00M. Bruk—11115792M. Svitac—771111103
M. Bruk10
WSep 7 · 11:30M. Svitac1.679121191M. Bruk2.1011148113LSep 7 · 10:58M. Bruk1.834470L. Kolman1.831111113LSep 7 · 09:58M. Bruk3.00118119102Z. Vasatko1.36911511123LSep 4 · 16:34M. Bruk1.6551191112P. Provaznik2.10113118113WSep 4 · 15:45J. Simek1.8312511582M. Bruk1.831011511113LSep 4 · 14:45O. Horak1.80111012113M. Bruk1.916121081WSep 4 · 13:15P. Provaznik2.001461181M. Bruk1.7316119113WAug 24 · 16:33M. Bruk1.67611211123Z. Kuksa2.10119116102LAug 24 · 16:00M. Bruk1.7396111172R. Merkl2.00111168113LAug 24 · 14:30D. Marasek1.50111111113M. Bruk2.50881361
M. Svitac10
LSep 7 · 11:30M. Svitac1.679121191M. Bruk2.1011148113LSep 7 · 10:30M. Svitac1.9131111692Z. Vasatko1.80119811113LSep 7 · 09:30M. Svitac1.67913111192L. Kolman2.10111595113WSep 6 · 20:23M. Svitac1.731112113A. Pavlik2.0071090LSep 6 · 19:45M. Svitac2.2081112452M. Hajek1.611191011113WSep 6 · 18:15A. Pavlik1.83113471M. Svitac1.8391111113LSep 6 · 17:45L. Kolman2.101111610113M. Svitac1.6764111252WSep 5 · 16:49L. Smazik1.80351171M. Svitac1.9111114113WSep 5 · 15:45M. Svitac2.3811117113L. Smazik1.53761151LSep 5 · 14:15P. Semrad2.101111113M. Svitac1.679860
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