TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13106606
Played Sep 10Finished
Libor Smazik
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 8
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611118711611––
Miroslav Hajek
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:43 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeLibor Smazik to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingLibor Smazik above · Miroslav Hajek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 71 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Libor Smazik at 61.2%
71 points played in total.
H2H Libor Smazik 13–8 Miroslav Hajek Miroslav Hajek has won 8 of their 21 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:43What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Smazik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-8 in 21
Smazik
Wrong
gap of 5 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Smazik 1509 vs Hajek 1659
Hajek
Correct
both rated, 150 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Smazik 0% vs Hajek 40%
Hajek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Smazik 20% vs Hajek 40%
Hajek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Smazik -5 · Hajek -1
Smazik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Smazik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Smazik form (0%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSmazik 1.53 / Hajek 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Smazik)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13106606
Smazik1.53
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite50% won 58 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it94% 33 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it73% 45 of 62
Hajek2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 44 of 94
Down 0–1, comes back27% 15 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSmazik5wins
AwayHajek5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSmazik80%4 of 5
AwayHajek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Smazik5Hajek5n = 10split evenly
S2Smazik5Hajek5n = 10split evenly
S3Smazik5Hajek5n = 10split evenly
S4Smazik3Hajek2n = 5Smazik took 3 of 5
S5Smazik2Hajek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSmazikHajekS − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.232.3+1.9per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSmazikHajekBasisWin rate · lifetime209 / 408 vs 364 / 67251.2%54.2%209 / 408 vs 364 / 672Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.140.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SmazikSmazik 1.53/Hajek 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.2%
Smazik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hajek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 6 · 12:43L. Smazik—1111113M. Hajek—5840
WMay 6 · 11:00L. Smazik—127115113M. Hajek—101171162
WApr 27 · 12:48L. Smazik—811611113M. Hajek—11611422
LApr 27 · 11:45L. Smazik—91141112M. Hajek—114115113
WApr 26 · 09:45L. Smazik—1111113M. Hajek—2830
LApr 25 · 11:15L. Smazik—9890M. Hajek—1111113
LMar 31 · 16:24L. Smazik—11631152M. Hajek—911114113
LMar 31 · 13:45L. Smazik—4940M. Hajek—1111113
WMar 26 · 12:00L. Smazik—1111113M. Hajek—7550
LMar 16 · 17:59L. Smazik—681291M. Hajek—111110113
L. Smazik10
LSep 7 · 16:38D. Marasek1.831115119113L. Smazik1.8351741172LSep 7 · 15:30L. Smazik2.00481191P. Semrad1.7311118113LSep 7 · 14:30L. Smazik1.804630D. Marasek1.911111113LSep 7 · 13:30L. Smazik2.10101140P. Oplt1.671213113LSep 5 · 16:49L. Smazik1.80351171M. Svitac1.9111114113LSep 5 · 15:45M. Svitac2.3811117113L. Smazik1.53761151LSep 5 · 14:45Z. Vasatko3.0051111123L. Smazik1.361184101LSep 5 · 13:15P. Semrad1.9111711103L. Smazik1.80811351WJul 16 · 16:18L. Smazik1.501111113T. Hucko2.508630WJul 16 · 15:45L. Provaznik1.736790L. Smazik2.001111113
M. Hajek10
LSep 10 · 10:15M. Svitac2.25811911113M. Hajek1.5711911832LSep 6 · 20:53M. Hajek1.83881171L. Kolman1.8311119113WSep 6 · 19:45M. Svitac2.2081112452M. Hajek1.611191011113LSep 6 · 18:45L. Kolman1.91111193M. Hajek1.809960WSep 6 · 17:15A. Pavlik2.2551490M. Hajek1.571116103LSep 6 · 09:04M. Hajek1.83911861P. Hala1.8311611113WSep 6 · 08:00P. Hala2.00910100M. Hajek1.731112123LSep 6 · 07:00P. Orlowski2.25111111113M. Hajek1.57461371LSep 6 · 05:30R. Merkl2.3814711123M. Hajek1.5312117101WSep 4 · 12:43Z. Vasatko1.8311990M. Hajek1.831311113
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