TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126510
Played Sep 14Finished
Zdenek Vasatko
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117116115––––
Matej Svitac
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeZdenek Vasatko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZdenek Vasatko above · Matej Svitac below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 51 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Zdenek Vasatko at 54.0%
51 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Vasatko 6–7 Matej Svitac Zdenek Vasatko has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:10What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vasatko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-7 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vasatko 1607 vs Svitac 1674
Svitac
Wrong
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vasatko 40% vs Svitac 80%
Svitac
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vasatko 40% vs Svitac 60%
Svitac
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vasatko -1 · Svitac -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vasatko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svitac form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVasatko 1.73 / Svitac 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vasatko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13126510
Vasatko1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 35 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it88% 21 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it84% 27 of 32
Svitac2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog46% won 28 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back31% 9 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVasatko4wins
AwaySvitac6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSvitac leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVasatko75%3 of 4
AwaySvitac83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vasatko4Svitac6n = 10Svitac took 6 of 10
S2Vasatko4Svitac6n = 10Svitac took 6 of 10
S3Vasatko4Svitac6n = 10Svitac took 6 of 10
S4Vasatko5Svitac3n = 8Vasatko took 5 of 8
S5Vasatko2Svitac2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVasatkoSvitacV − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.339.2−2.9per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVasatkoSvitacBasisWin rate · lifetime145 / 292 vs 216 / 39449.7%54.8%145 / 292 vs 216 / 394Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VasatkoVasatko 1.73/Svitac 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vasatko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vasatko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 12:43Z. Vasatko4395121162M. Svitac511111108113
WSep 8 · 09:45Z. Vasatko46311912113M. Svitac46119111052
WSep 7 · 10:30Z. Vasatko50119811113M. Svitac4031111692
LSep 4 · 10:45Z. Vasatko148150M. Svitac331111113
LMay 14 · 10:45Z. Vasatko33871171M. Svitac3811115113
LMay 1 · 10:45Z. Vasatko4691181172M. Svitac46119114113
WMar 24 · 10:30Z. Vasatko331111113M. Svitac198560
WMar 16 · 14:08Z. Vasatko4111117123M. Svitac368711101
LMar 16 · 12:00Z. Vasatko321341051M. Svitac45111112113
LMar 14 · 16:15Z. Vasatko25631151M. Svitac3811115113
Z. Vasatko10
LSep 12 · 13:09Z. Vasatko1.809970M. Hajek1.91111193WSep 12 · 12:00M. Hajek1.7371111462Z. Vasatko2.00119711113LSep 12 · 11:00P. Semrad1.731111113Z. Vasatko2.009470LSep 12 · 09:30L. Smazik1.801111103Z. Vasatko1.917680WSep 11 · 12:44Z. Vasatko1.91111111113P. Semrad1.80913151LSep 11 · 11:45M. Hajek1.7391311113Z. Vasatko2.001111381LSep 11 · 10:45P. Semrad1.7311115113Z. Vasatko2.00281171WSep 11 · 09:15P. Oplt1.8061080Z. Vasatko1.911112113LSep 8 · 12:43Z. Vasatko1.7395121162M. Svitac2.001111108113WSep 8 · 11:45Z. Vasatko2.631111113L. Kolman1.449640
M. Svitac10
LSep 10 · 12:48L. Kolman2.2011117113M. Svitac1.61761161WSep 10 · 11:15M. Svitac2.1013119113L. Smazik1.671181181WSep 10 · 10:15M. Svitac2.25811911113M. Hajek1.5711911832WSep 10 · 09:15M. Svitac1.731111113L. Kolman2.009540WSep 8 · 12:43Z. Vasatko1.7395121162M. Svitac2.001111108113WSep 8 · 11:15T. Kanka1.911312491M. Svitac1.80111411113WSep 8 · 10:45M. Svitac1.7381111113L. Kolman2.00119791LSep 8 · 09:45M. Svitac2.00119111052Z. Vasatko1.73311912113LSep 7 · 12:29M. Bruk2.1071111113M. Svitac1.67116541LSep 7 · 11:30M. Svitac1.679121191M. Bruk2.1011148113
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