Zdenek Vasatko vs Petr Semrad 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13114985

Played Sep 11Finished

Zdenek Vasatko

Home

1.91

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 2

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

1191113111115––

Petr Semrad

Away

1.80

At publish

Won last 7

Form at publish

9–1Last 10Won last 7

How it is goingZdenek Vasatko above · Petr Semrad below

Set 1 · 11-9

Set 2 · 11-13

Set 3 · 11-1

Set 4 · 11-5

Point 72 set 4, 11-5

72 points played in total.

H2H Zdenek Vasatko 12–16 Petr Semrad Zdenek Vasatko has won 12 of their 28 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

Same-day rematch · 2h before this match

Semrad beat Vasatko 3-1.

Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.

Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Semrad)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Semrad form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsVasatko 1.91 / Semrad 1.80

Signal prob.45% / 55%

Edge (Semrad)+3.2pp

Setka Cup · #13114985

Vasatko1.91

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog54% won 29 of 54

Down 0–1, comes back25% 6 of 24

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12

Semrad1.80

90%won 9 of 10 · last 10

Won last 7

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As favourite55% won 94 of 170

Up 2–0, closes it91% 40 of 44

Up 1–0, closes it69% 61 of 89

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeVasatko5wins

AwaySemrad5wins

4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeVasatko60%3 of 5

AwaySemrad60%3 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Vasatko5Semrad5n = 10split evenly

S2Vasatko3Semrad7n = 10Semrad took 7 of 10

S3Vasatko5Semrad5n = 10split evenly

S4Vasatko4Semrad4n = 8split evenly

S5Vasatko3Semrad1n = 4Vasatko took 3 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricVasatkoSemradV − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.038.3−0.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricVasatkoSemradBasisWin rate · lifetime143 / 287 vs 273 / 53149.8%51.4%143 / 287 vs 273 / 531Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.439.1per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Semrad

Vasatko 1.91/Semrad 1.80

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54.7%

Semrad · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Vasatko won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LSep 11 · 10:45Z. Vasatko—281171P. Semrad—11115113

WSep 5 · 16:18Z. Vasatko—129144113P. Semrad—1011121162

LSep 5 · 15:15Z. Vasatko—11741382P. Semrad—7111111113

WMay 24 · 09:30Z. Vasatko—51111113P. Semrad—118371

WMay 2 · 09:15Z. Vasatko—1111113P. Semrad—6720

WMar 21 · 14:15Z. Vasatko—115512133P. Semrad—6111110112

LMar 15 · 07:00Z. Vasatko—9680P. Semrad—1111113

LMar 13 · 15:45Z. Vasatko—1261181P. Semrad—14117113

WFeb 4 · 07:00Z. Vasatko—911911113P. Semrad—11911322

LDec 10 · 17:21Z. Vasatko—118571P. Semrad—61111113

Z. Vasatko10

LSep 11 · 11:45M. Hajek1.7391311113Z. Vasatko2.001111381 LSep 11 · 10:45P. Semrad1.7311115113Z. Vasatko2.00281171 WSep 11 · 09:15P. Oplt1.8061080Z. Vasatko1.911112113 LSep 8 · 12:43Z. Vasatko1.7395121162M. Svitac2.001111108113 WSep 8 · 11:45Z. Vasatko2.631111113L. Kolman1.449640 WSep 8 · 10:15T. Kanka2.38116651Z. Vasatko1.5361111113 WSep 8 · 09:45M. Svitac2.00119111052Z. Vasatko1.73311912113 LSep 7 · 12:58L. Kolman1.40111111113Z. Vasatko2.75913691 LSep 7 · 12:00Z. Vasatko2.004980L. Kolman1.731111113 WSep 7 · 10:30M. Svitac1.9131111692Z. Vasatko1.80119811113

P. Semrad10

WSep 11 · 11:15P. Oplt1.911081161P. Semrad1.8012116113 WSep 11 · 10:45P. Semrad1.7311115113Z. Vasatko2.00281171 WSep 11 · 09:45P. Semrad1.671111113M. Hajek2.106760 WSep 7 · 17:10P. Oplt1.9151111752P. Semrad1.80119711113 WSep 7 · 15:30L. Smazik2.00481191P. Semrad1.7311118113 WSep 7 · 15:00P. Semrad1.911111113P. Oplt1.809890 WSep 7 · 14:00P. Semrad1.578111111113D. Marasek2.2511713292 LSep 5 · 16:18Z. Vasatko2.50129144113P. Semrad1.501011121162 WSep 5 · 15:15P. Semrad1.807111111113Z. Vasatko1.9111741382 WSep 5 · 14:15P. Semrad2.101111113M. Svitac1.679860

Event Chatroom

This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.