TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13111163
Played Sep 11Finished
Pavel Oplt
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6111012811––––
Zdenek Vasatko
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavel Oplt to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPavel Oplt above · Zdenek Vasatko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 58 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Pavel Oplt at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Oplt 5–6 Zdenek Vasatko Pavel Oplt has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:25What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Oplt
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-6 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Oplt 1610 vs Vasatko 1663
Vasatko
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Oplt 60% vs Vasatko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Oplt 40% vs Vasatko 60%
Vasatko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Oplt -1 · Vasatko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Oplt)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOplt 1.80 / Vasatko 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Oplt)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13111163
Oplt1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 30 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it72% 18 of 25
Vasatko1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog54% won 29 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back25% 6 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOplt5wins
AwayVasatko5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOplt100%4 of 4
AwayVasatko83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Oplt4Vasatko6n = 10Vasatko took 6 of 10
S2Oplt6Vasatko4n = 10Oplt took 6 of 10
S3Oplt6Vasatko4n = 10Oplt took 6 of 10
S4Oplt3Vasatko3n = 6split evenly
S5Oplt1Vasatko2n = 3Vasatko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricOpltVasatkoO − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.135.2+0.9per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOpltVasatkoBasisWin rate · lifetime110 / 212 vs 143 / 28851.9%49.7%110 / 212 vs 143 / 288Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.836.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OpltOplt 1.80/Vasatko 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Oplt · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vasatko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LFeb 16 · 14:15P. Oplt—911121122Z. Vasatko—1131013113
LFeb 4 · 08:00P. Oplt—481181Z. Vasatko—11118113
WDec 5 · 11:00P. Oplt—1111113Z. Vasatko—6650
LNov 11 · 15:45P. Oplt—47111162Z. Vasatko—111149113
WAug 19 · 17:00P. Oplt—21111113Z. Vasatko—116691
WAug 19 · 15:00P. Oplt—11111110113Z. Vasatko—55131282
LAug 15 · 10:00P. Oplt—7880Z. Vasatko—1111113
WAug 13 · 11:15P. Oplt—1111113Z. Vasatko—7860
WAug 12 · 10:15P. Oplt—11137113Z. Vasatko—4111181
LAug 4 · 12:25P. Oplt—411110Z. Vasatko—1113133
P. Oplt10
LSep 7 · 17:10P. Oplt1.9151111752P. Semrad1.80119711113WSep 7 · 16:00D. Marasek2.10101111892P. Oplt1.67127511113LSep 7 · 15:00P. Semrad1.911111113P. Oplt1.809890WSep 7 · 13:30L. Smazik2.10101140P. Oplt1.671213113WAug 10 · 20:18D. Marasek2.10711121242P. Oplt1.671171410113LAug 10 · 19:15P. Oplt1.61711561D. Marasek2.2011711113LAug 10 · 18:15P. Oplt1.53106111152M. Hajek2.38121179113LAug 10 · 17:15P. Oplt1.44101161182A. Pavlik2.63129118113WAug 4 · 20:28A. Pavlik2.1089110P. Oplt1.671111133LAug 4 · 19:15P. Oplt1.6711113962A. Pavlik2.10881111113
Z. Vasatko10
LSep 8 · 12:43Z. Vasatko1.7395121162M. Svitac2.001111108113WSep 8 · 11:45Z. Vasatko2.631111113L. Kolman1.449640WSep 8 · 10:15T. Kanka2.38116651Z. Vasatko1.5361111113WSep 8 · 09:45M. Svitac2.00119111052Z. Vasatko1.73311912113LSep 7 · 12:58L. Kolman1.40111111113Z. Vasatko2.75913691LSep 7 · 12:00Z. Vasatko2.004980L. Kolman1.731111113WSep 7 · 10:30M. Svitac1.9131111692Z. Vasatko1.80119811113WSep 7 · 09:58M. Bruk3.00118119102Z. Vasatko1.36911511123WSep 5 · 16:18Z. Vasatko2.50129144113P. Semrad1.501011121162LSep 5 · 15:15P. Semrad1.807111111113Z. Vasatko1.9111741382
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.