Dominik Marasek vs Pavel Oplt 2-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #12398896

Played Aug 10Finished

Dominik Marasek

Home

2.10

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

71111712141210411

Pavel Oplt

Away

1.67

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 3

How it is goingDominik Marasek above · Pavel Oplt below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 11-7

Set 3 · 12-14

Set 4 · 12-10

Set 5 · 4-11

Point 99 set 5, 4-11

99 points played in total.

H2H Dominik Marasek 6–7 Pavel Oplt Dominik Marasek has won 6 of their 13 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Oplt)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Oplt form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMarasek 2.10 / Oplt 1.67

Signal prob.42% / 58%

Edge (Oplt)+2.0pp

Setka Cup · #12398896

Marasek2.10

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

70%takes the first set · 7 of 10

As underdog38% won 22 of 58

Down 0–1, comes back21% 6 of 28

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14

Oplt1.67

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite55% won 36 of 65

Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15

Up 1–0, closes it72% 18 of 25

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeMarasek5wins

AwayOplt5wins

4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeMarasek50%3 of 6

AwayOplt50%2 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Marasek6Oplt4n = 10Marasek took 6 of 10

S2Marasek4Oplt6n = 10Oplt took 6 of 10

S3Marasek5Oplt5n = 10split evenly

S4Marasek7Oplt3n = 10Marasek took 7 of 10

S5Marasek1Oplt3n = 4Oplt took 3 of 4

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home440%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricMarasekOpltM − OBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.540.1+1.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricMarasekOpltBasisWin rate · lifetime120 / 245 vs 113 / 21949%51.6%120 / 245 vs 113 / 219Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.839.5per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Oplt

Marasek 2.10/Oplt 1.67

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

57.8%

Oplt · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Oplt won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WAug 10 · 19:15D. Marasek—11711113P. Oplt—711561

LAug 4 · 17:15D. Marasek—10101161P. Oplt—12127113

LJul 29 · 20:17D. Marasek—91171162P. Oplt—115118113

WJul 29 · 18:15D. Marasek—91111113P. Oplt—116941

LMay 27 · 11:45D. Marasek—117781P. Oplt—91111113

LMay 7 · 14:15D. Marasek—11116772P. Oplt—471111113

LNov 13 · 18:05D. Marasek—111151172P. Oplt—813118113

WNov 13 · 16:45D. Marasek—1251211123P. Oplt—1011147102

WAug 19 · 14:00D. Marasek—11611113P. Oplt—411941

WJul 14 · 15:15D. Marasek—81111113P. Oplt—118991

D. Marasek10

WSep 7 · 14:30L. Smazik1.804630D. Marasek1.911111113 LSep 7 · 14:00P. Semrad1.578111111113D. Marasek2.2511713292 WSep 3 · 17:03D. Marasek2.38141111113P. Semrad1.53165991 LSep 3 · 16:00P. Semrad1.5011116113D. Marasek2.50561171 WSep 3 · 15:00J. Simek2.638990D. Marasek1.441111113 WSep 3 · 13:30T. Hybl2.2597100D. Marasek1.571111123 WSep 1 · 16:49D. Marasek1.611111113L. Kolman2.209540 WSep 1 · 15:45D. Marasek1.8311207113M. Svitac1.836181171 WSep 1 · 14:15L. Kolman1.836980D. Marasek1.831111113 WSep 1 · 13:45P. Semrad1.441213161342D. Marasek2.6310151811113

P. Oplt10

LSep 7 · 15:00P. Semrad1.911111113P. Oplt1.809890 WSep 7 · 13:30L. Smazik2.10101140P. Oplt1.671213113 LAug 10 · 19:15P. Oplt1.61711561D. Marasek2.2011711113 LAug 10 · 18:15P. Oplt1.53106111152M. Hajek2.38121179113 LAug 10 · 17:15P. Oplt1.44101161182A. Pavlik2.63129118113 WAug 4 · 20:28A. Pavlik2.1089110P. Oplt1.671111133 LAug 4 · 19:15P. Oplt1.6711113962A. Pavlik2.10881111113 WAug 4 · 18:15P. Oplt1.67138711113J. Jnr2.10111111462 WAug 4 · 17:15P. Oplt1.6112127113D. Marasek2.2010101161 LJul 30 · 12:23P. Oplt2.63119911102A. Radkovsky1.44611115123

Upcoming Matches

D. Marasek

Sep 7 · 16:00D. Marasek2.10P. Oplt1.67—Sep 7 · 16:00D. Marasek2.38D. Horak1.53—

P. Oplt

Sep 7 · 16:00P. Oplt1.67D. Marasek2.10—

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